Just a few quick notes on a number of things, mainly to bring links to various articles to the top.
Election night coverage
On election night I am very pleased to say I will again be live blogging for The Mercury, starting from 6 pm and probably going til about 11 or maybe later, except for any time when I may or may not need to stop blogging and write a quick article for them. The link will be posted here when known. It is possible the coverage will be paywalled; if so there are various subscription offers starting from $12, or it may be there will be a paywall-free link. Once that has been finished, after a brief break I will relocate to home and then continue on here for a while.
Links
Some links to recent items on my site that may be useful:
How To Make Best Use Of Your 2019 Senate Vote
Tasmanian House of Reps Seats
Tasmanian Senate Guide
ELECTORAL, POLLING AND POLITICAL ANALYSIS, COMMENT AND NEWS FROM THE PEOPLE'S REPUBLIC OF CLARK. THIS MACHINE KILLS BAD ELECTORAL SYSTEMS. IF USING THIS SITE ON MOBILE YOU CAN SCROLL DOWN AND CLICK "VIEW WEB VERSION" TO SEE THE SIDEBAR FULL OF GOODIES.
Showing posts with label Hawke. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Hawke. Show all posts
Friday, May 17, 2019
Saturday, April 28, 2018
Not-A-Poll: Worst PM Of The Last 45 Years
It's a little bit later than I intended but I've now found time to kick off the Worst PM Not-A-Poll as a sequel to the Best PM series that I ran for several months. Voting in the sidebar, below the Prosser Not-A-Poll. The first round will run until the end of May. The rules are:
* this is intended as a shorter exercise than Best PM, so if there is not an outright majority in round 1 there will be a runoff between the top two only.
* in the case of a tie to get into the runoff, the PM who left office first will progress to the runoff.
* in the case of a tie in the runoff, the PM who received the most votes in round 1 will be deemed Worst PM. If the two tied in round 1 as well they will be deemed equal worst.
* in the event of obvious or highly likely stacking by a single person I will deduct votes and declare changed results as I deem necessary - any changes will be logged as soon as I decide them.
* Gough Whitlam is not included as he won immunity by winning the Best PM Not-A-Poll series.
I do ask that people vote honestly. It's common for supporters of political parties to automatically demonise the current PM while their party is in opposition, or the most recent PMs of the other side while their party is in government. That said, you might honestly think the person that line of attack implies is the worst, and if that's the case, go for it. (And no, this site doesn't make or break careers at federal level at least, so please don't vote for anyone on that basis.)
Worst PM will be followed by Worst Opposition Leader.
* this is intended as a shorter exercise than Best PM, so if there is not an outright majority in round 1 there will be a runoff between the top two only.
* in the case of a tie to get into the runoff, the PM who left office first will progress to the runoff.
* in the case of a tie in the runoff, the PM who received the most votes in round 1 will be deemed Worst PM. If the two tied in round 1 as well they will be deemed equal worst.
* in the event of obvious or highly likely stacking by a single person I will deduct votes and declare changed results as I deem necessary - any changes will be logged as soon as I decide them.
* Gough Whitlam is not included as he won immunity by winning the Best PM Not-A-Poll series.
I do ask that people vote honestly. It's common for supporters of political parties to automatically demonise the current PM while their party is in opposition, or the most recent PMs of the other side while their party is in government. That said, you might honestly think the person that line of attack implies is the worst, and if that's the case, go for it. (And no, this site doesn't make or break careers at federal level at least, so please don't vote for anyone on that basis.)
Worst PM will be followed by Worst Opposition Leader.
Labels:
Abbott,
Gillard,
Hawke,
Howard,
Keating,
Malcolm Fraser,
Not-A-Poll,
Rudd,
worst PM
Thursday, November 30, 2017
Not-A-Poll: Best Prime Minister Of The Last 45 Years, Round 4
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| (Image: Flickr:Gostalgia licence) |
"The main sufferers in Australian society — the main victims of social deprivation and restricted opportunity - have been the oldest Australians on the one hand and the newest Australians on the other. "
Three months ago, I started a multi-round Not-A-Poll to determine this site's choice for the title of Best Prime Minister of the Last 45 Years. Each round, one Prime Minister (sometimes more) is given the boot until someone gets over 50% and wins. Each round runs for about a month, so you can vote for different candidates from month to month if you want to. Multiple voting is in theory banned, but still readily possible at low levels; adjustments may be made if required. It is what it is, but at least it's preferential in a way, unlike, say, Australian bird of the year.
The winner of each round gets a photo and a quote on the top, except for the final round when photos of both candidates will go up together. And there is an obscure rule that if there is a new Prime Minister voting stops for a month to give the new PM time to establish themselves as incredibly brilliant and win the contest. I mention that because there's chatter about that the incumbent (eliminated in last place in this contest with a ridiculously small vote) might not even last the coming sitting week.
Wednesday, November 1, 2017
Not-A-Poll: Best Prime Minister Of The Last 45 Years: Round 3
"The Honourable Leader of the Opposition, Sir Billy Snedden, has broken his promise: the promise he made to me before the election. He promised not to tell any lies about me, if I didn't tell the truth about him."* Two months ago I started a multi-round Not-A-Poll to determine this site's visitors' choice for the title of Best Prime Minister of the Last 45 Years. The idea is that each month the Prime Minister in last place is eliminated and the rest continue until someone gets over 50% and wins. There are rules permitting multiple exclusions in certain cases, to speed up the process a bit. Each round runs for a month, so you can vote for different candidates from round to round if you want to. Multiple voting is in theory banned and adjustments may be made if I detect it, but there will probably be a lot of low-level multiple voting I can't detect or prevent. Comments about the merits of the contestants are welcome. |
Saturday, September 30, 2017
Not-A-Poll: Best Prime Minister Of The Last 45 Years - Round 2
PRIMARY VOTE LEADER FROM ROUND 1: Whitlam
EXCLUDED IN ROUND 1: Turnbull, Fraser
Rudd continues only because of irregular voting patterns for Abbott
Round 2 voting open in sidebar til 6 pm AEDST, 31 October
A month ago I started a multi-round Not-A-Poll to determine this site's visitors' choice for the title of Best Prime Minister of the Last 45 Years. The idea is that each month the Prime Minister in last place is eliminated and the rest continue until someone gets over 50% and wins. There are rules permitting multiple exclusions in certain cases, to speed up the process a bit. Each round runs for a month, so you can vote for different candidates from round to round if you want to. Multiple voting is in theory banned and adjustments may be made if I detect it, but there will probably be a lot of low-level multiple voting I can't detect or prevent. Comments about the merits of the contestants are welcome.
Technical note: If you wish to vote on a mobile, switch to "View web version" at the bottom of an article.
EXCLUDED IN ROUND 1: Turnbull, Fraser
Rudd continues only because of irregular voting patterns for Abbott
Round 2 voting open in sidebar til 6 pm AEDST, 31 October
A month ago I started a multi-round Not-A-Poll to determine this site's visitors' choice for the title of Best Prime Minister of the Last 45 Years. The idea is that each month the Prime Minister in last place is eliminated and the rest continue until someone gets over 50% and wins. There are rules permitting multiple exclusions in certain cases, to speed up the process a bit. Each round runs for a month, so you can vote for different candidates from round to round if you want to. Multiple voting is in theory banned and adjustments may be made if I detect it, but there will probably be a lot of low-level multiple voting I can't detect or prevent. Comments about the merits of the contestants are welcome.
Technical note: If you wish to vote on a mobile, switch to "View web version" at the bottom of an article.
Thursday, August 31, 2017
Not-A-Poll: Best Prime Minister Of The Last 45 Years
(Round 1 has closed. For results see Round 2.)
Round 1
Now and then we see newspaper polls rating the best PMs of the last few decades, or in the case of one Essential poll last week, the best government of the last ten years. John Howard is a persistent "winner" of the first class of polling, but I've always believed he has an unfair advantage. He tends to get a very high share of the Liberal vote with other Liberal PMs hardly getting any, while the Labor vote tends to be split up more between Hawke, Keating, Whitlam, Rudd and Gillard. For that reason it's not clear whether Howard would beat all the Labor PMs on a head-to-head basis, although it looks like he probably would.
Round 1
Now and then we see newspaper polls rating the best PMs of the last few decades, or in the case of one Essential poll last week, the best government of the last ten years. John Howard is a persistent "winner" of the first class of polling, but I've always believed he has an unfair advantage. He tends to get a very high share of the Liberal vote with other Liberal PMs hardly getting any, while the Labor vote tends to be split up more between Hawke, Keating, Whitlam, Rudd and Gillard. For that reason it's not clear whether Howard would beat all the Labor PMs on a head-to-head basis, although it looks like he probably would.
I've decided to run a similar Not-A-Poll exercise here in the sidebar just for fun over a period of several months. The basic rule is that we keep going eliminating one PM at a time (perhaps more) until someone has over 50% at the end of a month. The more complicated rules are:
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