Over the last week or so I've been looking at some statistics relating to the uniqueness (or not) of Senate votes in Tasmania, and some other aspects of Tasmanian Senate voting. At the moment I'm only doing this for Tasmania, but it can be extended to other states if anyone else wants to do so. This article has been rated 4/5 on the Wonk Factor scale - it is obviously out and out wonkcore but the maths is not as tricky as in some of the stuff on this site.
All Senate votes are scanned by optical character recognition and the scans are verified by human data operators. The AEC publishes files of all formal Senate preference votes that can be used by outside observers to verify that the AEC is getting the right results and computing the count correctly. This year's formatting of these files is a lot more user-friendly than in 2016. On downloading the files one can find all the numbers recorded as entered in the system for any vote recorded as formal. Sometimes this includes both above the line preferences and below the line preferences (if both are formal, below the line takes precedence, an issue I will come to later on.)
One minor change is that ticks and crosses are no longer indicated by special characters, an aspect that was the source of some confusion among the easily confused at the last election.
ELECTORAL, POLLING AND POLITICAL ANALYSIS, COMMENT AND NEWS FROM THE PEOPLE'S REPUBLIC OF CLARK (PART OF WHICH IS NOW HAVING ITS WORST COUNCIL ELECTION EVER). IF USING THIS SITE ON MOBILE YOU CAN SCROLL DOWN AND CLICK "VIEW WEB VERSION" TO SEE THE SIDEBAR FULL OF GOODIES.
Showing posts with label above the line. Show all posts
Showing posts with label above the line. Show all posts
Friday, June 28, 2019
Thursday, June 20, 2019
Senate Reform Performance Review 2019
The results of this year's half-Senate election are all in so it is time to observe how our new Senate system performed at its first half-Senate test. Australian Senate voting was reformed in the leadup to the 2016 election to abolish Group Ticket voting and the preference-harvesting exploits it had become prone to, and give voters more flexibility in directing their own preferences either above or below the line. In the leadup to that election, many false predictions about Senate reform were made and were then discredited by the results. I reviewed how the new system went back then: Part 1, Part 2. Some of the predictions that were made by opponents of Senate reform concerned the results of half-Senate elections specifically, so now we've had one, it's a good time to check in on those, as well as on how this election compared to 2019. One unexpected issue with the new system has surfaced, concerning above the line boxes for non-party groups, but it is one that should be easily fixed.
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