Good to be back from the longest posting hiatus in this site's history so far. I have been working on a couple of other pieces during what little time I have had to spare during another round of having months of my life expended by moving house, but I thought I should first make some quick comments about Senator Lidia Thorpe quitting the Greens, largely over differences concerning the proposed Indigenous Voice to Parliament. The Greens support the Voice but Thorpe considers the Voice to be tokenism and supports a treaty first. This week's Newspoll showed that Greens supporters overwhelmingly support the Voice (at least for now) and further highlighted that Thorpe's position is a lonely one within the party.
Thorpe's defection to the crossbench changes the balance of the Senate significantly. Previously Labor and the Greens held 38 seats, meaning their easiest way to pass bills was to obtain the support of David Pocock. The next easiest route involved the two Lambie Network Senators. Now with Labor and the Greens down to 37 they need two votes out of Pocock, Thorpe, Ralph Babet (UAP), the two Lambie Network senators and the two One Nation senators. They also need one of these votes to block motions. While Thorpe will remain a safe vote on climate change related matters, there may be other issues where she is not, especially if she uses her power to horse-trade for her goals. This means the Lambie Network senators may increase their own power since there may be times when it is easier to work with them than Pocock and Thorpe. (Voice-related issues will probably not be those times - Lambie is quite sceptical of the ability of the Voice to deliver change on the ground.)