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| Wirrah Award For Fishy Polling (image source) |
In the final week of the Tasmanian state election campaign, the Tasmanian ALP has been accused of push-polling. This follows the apparent leaking, by forces unknown, of an internal Labor UMR poll.
I have also obtained the contentious poll, which was conducted by telephone interviews with a sample size of 300 voters in each of Lyons and Franklin. The Liberal Party needs to win three seats in at least one of these electorates, and is very likely to do so in Lyons, but lineball in Franklin.
The questions for the two electorates, conducted 5-6 March, appear in a results section entitled "Messaging". Each question has the opening question "Does the following statement make you more or less likely to vote Labor in the state election or does it make no difference?" The statements then are:
