GetUp! ReachTEL (undecided redistributed) Coalition 37.1 ALP 35 Green 9.8 PHON 10.6
Published 2PP 54-46 to Labor
2PP by 2016 preferences 52.1 to Labor
Verdict: Go back to sleep
[Updated 24 Jan with fresh Essential polling on Centrelink issues]
My little eyes lit up when I saw in my Twitter stream that I had somehow missed the release of a national ReachTEL at about midnight last night. There has not been a national ReachTEL since before the July election. Given the relative paucity of polling data since then, and the Centrelink and ministerial "entitlements" issues currently affecting the Turnbull Government, new data concerning where the government was standing could be quite interesting.
Unfortunately it turned out that this was not a new Seven or Fairfax ReachTEL, but rather one commissioned by the lobby group GetUp! Moreover, the level of immediate publication of the poll's details has been abysmal. Rather than it being promptly released with full details either on GetUp!'s website or the ReachTEL site, what seems to have happened is that it has been sent (in part or full, who knows) to a range of media agencies who have then presented us with a partially digested dog's breakfast of the findings.
Showing posts with label Centrelink. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Centrelink. Show all posts
Monday, January 16, 2017
Tuesday, May 20, 2014
The Golden Age Of Studybludging
"[..] you are a playboy and a dilettante, with no real desire to ever work, to hold a job, to repay society for suffering your existence. You are an opportunist. You are irresponsible. You are a drone."
For the source of the quote, read on.
This article is just a shortish (by my standards) semi-flippant comment on something that interests me in the current Budget debates.
One of the most contentious Coalition decisions in the current Budget debate is a proposal to not allow unemployed people under the age of 30 access to unemployment benefits until they have been unemployed for six months. The time for which benefits can't be accessed drops by one month for every year a person has spent in the workforce, although how this is calculated if a person has spent many years semi-employed, self-employed or intermittently employed is not yet clear. Many, including me, have found this policy to be unbelievably nasty at first look. On Twitter I described this policy as worse than everything else in this and many other budgets put together.
On that ABC program I rarely watch (because I dislike talking-head panel shows and bear-baiting in general) Treasurer Hockey was asked a direct question about what happens to someone who finishes their education, having not been in the workforce, and simply cannot get a job. The questioner - who spoke very well indeed - assumed, as many would, that the result for such a person would be six months with no income.
For the source of the quote, read on.
This article is just a shortish (by my standards) semi-flippant comment on something that interests me in the current Budget debates.
One of the most contentious Coalition decisions in the current Budget debate is a proposal to not allow unemployed people under the age of 30 access to unemployment benefits until they have been unemployed for six months. The time for which benefits can't be accessed drops by one month for every year a person has spent in the workforce, although how this is calculated if a person has spent many years semi-employed, self-employed or intermittently employed is not yet clear. Many, including me, have found this policy to be unbelievably nasty at first look. On Twitter I described this policy as worse than everything else in this and many other budgets put together.
On that ABC program I rarely watch (because I dislike talking-head panel shows and bear-baiting in general) Treasurer Hockey was asked a direct question about what happens to someone who finishes their education, having not been in the workforce, and simply cannot get a job. The questioner - who spoke very well indeed - assumed, as many would, that the result for such a person would be six months with no income.
Friday, January 24, 2014
Andrews' Phantom Welfare Spending Crisis
Advance Summary
1. An "unsustainable" level of welfare spending has been asserted by Human Services Minister, Kevin Andrews, in flagging a review of the system.
2. However, the number of people on welfare has not increased over the past decade when it is measured on a per capita basis rather than in raw-number terms.
3. Furthermore, when the age pension is excluded the proportion of people receiving welfare payments was consistently lower under Labor than in most of the second half of the Howard Coalition government.
4. Recent increases in the number of people receiving Newstart are explained largely by classification changes through the forcing of parents off parenting benefits, and increased unemployment.
5. While it would be more productive to investigate other areas of the welfare system, unemployment and disability benefits are a more politically convenient target.
6. Any investigation of whether "perverse incentives" are encouraging potential jobseekers to apply for disability support instead should consider whether the conditions under which Newstart allowance is made available, rather than just the disparity in payment amounts, might contribute to the problem (if it even exists.)
1. An "unsustainable" level of welfare spending has been asserted by Human Services Minister, Kevin Andrews, in flagging a review of the system.
2. However, the number of people on welfare has not increased over the past decade when it is measured on a per capita basis rather than in raw-number terms.
3. Furthermore, when the age pension is excluded the proportion of people receiving welfare payments was consistently lower under Labor than in most of the second half of the Howard Coalition government.
4. Recent increases in the number of people receiving Newstart are explained largely by classification changes through the forcing of parents off parenting benefits, and increased unemployment.
5. While it would be more productive to investigate other areas of the welfare system, unemployment and disability benefits are a more politically convenient target.
6. Any investigation of whether "perverse incentives" are encouraging potential jobseekers to apply for disability support instead should consider whether the conditions under which Newstart allowance is made available, rather than just the disparity in payment amounts, might contribute to the problem (if it even exists.)
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