This
is the fourth of my state election post-counting threads. There will
be one for each electorate and they will be updated frequently. During
the cutup (which starts in the middle of the week after next) I will be
on remote fieldwork and will update nightly, but hope to take a day off
during the cutup.
SEAT OUTCOME: 3 Liberal 1 Labor 1 Green.
WINNERS: Gutwein (Lib), Ferguson (Lib), Courtney (Lib), M O'Byrne (ALP), Booth (Grn)
Sunday 16th:
Bass is one of the two economically struggling northern electorates where the Liberal Party has done exceptionally well. They're currently sitting on 3.44 quotas (57.4%). Labor is on a distant 1.40 quotas, the Greens have 0.75, PUP have 0.31 and we should not forget the Australian Christians with 0.06. The two indies don't have much.
Peter Gutwein and Michael Ferguson are elected with both well over quota. Michelle O'Byrne is far enough ahead of Brian Wightman that I very greatly doubt that he can catch her, especially as Senka Mujcic's preferences should favour O'Byrne.