ELECTORAL, POLLING AND POLITICAL ANALYSIS, COMMENT AND NEWS FROM THE PEOPLE'S REPUBLIC OF CLARK. LET 2026 BE THE YEAR VICTORIA IS FINALLY FREED OF THE CURSE OF GROUP TICKET VOTING. IF USING THIS SITE ON MOBILE YOU CAN SCROLL DOWN AND CLICK "VIEW WEB VERSION" TO SEE THE SIDEBAR FULL OF GOODIES.
Showing posts with label tax cuts. Show all posts
Showing posts with label tax cuts. Show all posts
Tuesday, July 17, 2018
Poll Roundup: National Narrowing As Super Saturday Approaches
2PP Aggregate (2016 Preferences): 51.7% to ALP (-0.5 since last week, -1 in six weeks)
With One Nation preference adjustment 51.1% to ALP
Closest position since October 2016
Labor would probably still win election "held now" but it would be close
Even psephologists have trouble with counting to big numbers sometimes. Like two. Normally I release a new post in this series every second Newspoll week, but two weeks ago on Newspoll Monday I had an inconvenient distraction. By the time I'd got through that and a couple of days of work my mind was so much elsewhere that I had forgotten it was time for another Poll Roundup.
Anyway, another Newspoll week has come and gone and all the current streaks noted on my Newspoll records page have continued. These streaks are: the Coalition for most 2PP losses in a row (now at 36), Malcolm Turnbull for most Better PM wins in a row (now 56), Bill Shorten for most negative netsats in a row for an Opposition Leader (now 69) and Malcolm Turnbull for the third-most negative netsats in a row for a PM (now 47, and he has overtaken Julia Gillard for second place for longest stay in negativeland by time.)
Labels:
Abbott,
Essential,
fishy polling,
Gilllard,
Ipsos,
leaderships,
narrowing,
Newspoll,
Opposition Leaders,
Peacock,
Preferred Leader scores,
pseph,
Rudd,
Shorten,
Super Saturday,
tax cuts,
Turnbull
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