The following table gives all the statewide polling known to me. The poll marked as "Essential" is known to me only from a Poll Bludger exclusive that describes it as Greens-commissioned Essential robopoll. That description places it at least two degrees of separation from anything we can place verified trust in but I mention it all the same. I've also given an average and a time-weighted (but not performance-weighted) aggregate, in each case excluding the Essential.
In this case though, I don't place that much confidence in aggregation methods. There is a major house-effect difference between the ReachTELs and the Galaxy/Newspoll stable, worth at least four points on each major party's primaries, and coming out at two or three on the 2PP only because ReachTEL use respondent preferences (which have been skewing massively to Labor). There's a pretty good chance here that someone's right and someone's wrong. We're not just seeing margin of error issues here - there would not be such large and consistent differences in the major party primaries by pollster if we were. (And no, voting intention doesn't bounce around this much in reality through a campaign either.)
