EXPECTED FINAL RESULT LABOR 27 LIBERAL 16 IND 4
On this page:
Expected Labor gain vs Liberal: Gibson (included in tally above)
Expected Liberal retains: Heysen, Dunstan, Unley, Morialta
On other page: Waite, Finniss, Hammond, Flinders.
This page follows classic (Liberal vs Labor 2PP) seat post-counts and also follows the count for half of the Legislative Council. The Council count does not currently look all that close, but that might change.
Three seats (Hartley, Morialta and Unley) dropped back into the in doubt category on the ABC site overnight. These are sites where the Liberals were projecting to win before the projection was switched off and still hold healthy leads; I expect these leads will increase and the Liberals won't be troubled holding these seats.
(Update Monday: the leads in Unley and Morialta came down with further counting to 50.32-49.68 and 50.50-49.50. It is most likely the Liberals will pull ahead or at worst break even on prepolls and postals so I am still treating those as expected Liberal holds for now, but may add sections below should this not happen as the count goes up or if there are changes to figures.)
(Update Tuesday: The Liberals have surged to the mid-51s in Unley and Morialta putting those beyond doubt.)
