Showing posts with label Heysen. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Heysen. Show all posts

Sunday, March 22, 2026

South Australia 2026 Postcount: Heysen

HEYSEN (Lib 2.6%)

Josh Teague (Lib) vs Marisa Bell (Labor) and Genevieve Dawson-Scott (Green)

Teague very narrowly leads Bell, but Bell not sure of making the final two.  No direct information on Liberal vs Green flows

Link back to summary page

The first of my postcount threads focuses on the Adelaide Hills seat of Heysen, which was the Greens' biggest target seat at this election.  What do you get if you take Prahran 2014 and throw in a One Nation candidate with 14% of the vote?  Well something like whatever this is.  Because of the slow count in other threads and the relatively settled picture for the night in Heysen I've started writing this one on the night, and it will run ahead of the tally board thread.

Sunday, March 20, 2022

South Australia 2022: Classic Postcounts and Legislative Council

EXPECTED FINAL RESULT LABOR 27 LIBERAL 16 IND 4

On this page:

Expected Labor gain vs Liberal: Gibson (included in tally above)

Expected Liberal retains: Heysen, Dunstan, Unley, Morialta

On other page: Waite, Finniss, Hammond, Flinders.

This page follows classic (Liberal vs Labor 2PP) seat post-counts and also follows the count for half of the Legislative Council.  The Council count does not currently look all that close, but that might change.

Three seats (Hartley, Morialta and Unley) dropped back into the in doubt category on the ABC site overnight.  These are sites where the Liberals were projecting to win before the projection was switched off and still hold healthy leads; I expect these leads will increase and the Liberals won't be troubled holding these seats.  

(Update Monday: the leads in Unley and Morialta came down with further counting to 50.32-49.68 and 50.50-49.50.  It is most likely the Liberals will pull ahead or at worst break even on prepolls and postals so I am still treating those as expected Liberal holds for now, but may add sections below should this not happen as the count goes up or if there are changes to figures.)

(Update Tuesday: The Liberals have surged to the mid-51s in Unley and Morialta putting those beyond doubt.)