ALL NUMBERS HERE ARE UNOFFICIAL - CHECK THE TEC PAGE FOR OFFICIAL NUMBERS
LYONS (2024 Result 3 Liberal 2 Labor 1 Green 1 JLN)
This is my Lyons electorate guide for the 2025 Tasmanian State Election. (Link to main 2025 election preview page, including links to other electorates.) If you find these guides useful, donations are very welcome (see sidebar), but please only donate if you can afford to do so. Note: if using a mobile you may need to use the view web version option at the bottom of the page to see the sidebar.
Lyons (2024 result 3 Liberal 2 Labor 1 Green 1 JLN, at election 3 Liberal 2 Labor 1 Green 1 Nat)Candidates
Note to candidates: As the number of candidates becomes large, continually changing link and bio details could consume a lot of my time. It's up to you to get your act together and have your candidacy advertised on a good website that I can find easily well ahead of the election. On emailed or Twitter/Bluesky request by July 12 at the latest I may make one free website link change per candidate at my discretion; fees will be charged beyond that. Bio descriptions and other text will not be changed on request except to remove any material that is indisputably false.
Where a link is available, a candidate's name is used as a hyperlink. Emails from candidates who do not understand this will be ignored.
I am not listing full portfolios for each MP, only the most notable positions. Candidates are listed incumbent-first by cabinet position/seniority and then alphabetically, except if stated otherwise.
This is the Lyons electorate guide for the 2021 Tasmanian State Election. (Link to main 2024 election preview page, including links to other electorates.) If you find these guides useful, donations are very welcome (see sidebar), but please only donate in these difficult times if you can afford to do so. Note: if using a mobile you may need to use the view web version option at the bottom of the page to see the sidebar.
Lyons (Currently 2 Liberal 2 Labor 1 IND).EMRS: Liberal 42 Labor 30 (+1) Greens 13 (-1) IND 13 (-2) (likely to be inflated) Others 3 (+2)
Seat estimate if election "held now" Lib 16-17 ALP 11-2 Green 4-5 IND 2-4
An EMRS quarterly poll of Tasmanian state voting intention taken Feb 14-19 has just emerged, together with an update on the snazzy albeit slightly odd bells and whistles thingy (more on that later).
This poll was taken before this week's resumption of Parliament in which the government has been attacked over two political class scandals. The first involved conflict of interest accusations against the Speaker Mark Shelton concerning very large grants for the upgrade of the Bracknell Hall. Speaker Shelton has used his casting vote to block a referral of the matter to the Privileges Committee, to block a no-confidence motion against him from being brought on, and to block two rather unusual motions that his vote on those motions be disallowed on the grounds of "pecuniary interest". (I have been unable to find any precedent for pecuniary interest provisions being used in this way.) In the second, after one of the parliament's longer exercises in dental extraction there was finally an admission that Racing Minister Madeleine Ogilvie had known the former TasRacing boss Paul Eriksson had been dismissed days before she first misleadingly claimed he had moved to Sydney for family reasons. At times Labor and the Greens were almost tripping over each other trying to work out which scandal to target first.
(Link to main 2021 page including link to other postcount threads)
LYONS (2018 Result 3 Liberal 2 Labor)
SEAT RESULT 3 Liberal 2 Labor (called)
CALLED ELECTED: Rebecca White (Labor), Guy Barnett (Liberal), Mark Shelton (Liberal), Jen Butler (Labor), John Tucker (Liberal)
Lyons is as dead as it gets as a party level contest with the Liberals on more or less exactly 3 quotas, Labor on more or less exactly 2 and the Greens on just over half, and the rest is mostly Shooters.
Rebecca White has topped the poll with 1.4 quotas. Guy Barnett is also over quota and Mark Shelton is on .72 quotas and will win, though it will take a while.
This is the Lyons electorate guide for the 2021 Tasmanian State Election. (Link to main 2021 election preview page, including links to other electorates.) If you find these guides useful, donations are very welcome (see sidebar), but please only donate in these difficult times if you can afford to do so. Note: if using a mobile you may need to use the view web version option at the bottom of the page to see the sidebar.
Lyons (Currently 3 Liberal 2 Labor).