RESUMPTION OF PARLIAMENT FOLLOWING JULY 19 ELECTION
Labor has moved constructive no-confidence motion to transfer confidence of the House from Jeremy Rockliff to Dean Winter
Motion failed 10-24, attracting no crossbench support.
WEDNESDAY: Labor leadership now under consideration (UPDATE: Josh Willie replaces Dean Winter)
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This is an updates thread for what should be, for now, the end of the 2025 Tasmanian election aftermath with the resumption of Parliament today. The result is likely to be decided either by Labor moving a foreshadowed motion of no-confidence that fails to pass, or by Labor deciding not to move it. In either of these cases the Rockliff government will have survived for now and won a fifth consecutive election. However I am keeping an eye on things in case something unusually unusual happens. (This is Tasmanian politics. Normality is relative.)
Over the last few days David O'Byrne, the Greens and Kristie Johnston have all announced that they will not support Labor's proposed motion to express no confidence in Jeremy Rockliff and confidence in Dean Winter (see my confidence position tracker). The Greens have also said that they will not abstain. On this basis if the motion is put it will get at most 14 votes. Labor would need three out of George Razay, Peter George, Craig Garland and Carlo Di Falco to demonstrate that the Greens' decision to back the Liberals had decided government, rather than the crossbench being so averse to Labor's attempt that the Greens could not have put Labor in government anyway. This seems unlikely. [Update: George has just said no as well.]
Based on the order of business there will not be action on Labor's motion (if it goes ahead) until after 2 pm (I am not sure if the motion can go ahead between 2-3). If the motion does go ahead there is potential for the debate to go for several hours and perhaps go into tomorrow though this will depend on how many MPs want to speak and for how long, and also whether the House chooses to adjourn around 6 pm or continue into the evening until it is finished.
At this stage there is no sign of it being likely that anything will happen with Labor's motion (if it goes ahead) other than it being put, debated and lost - but there is always the scope for amendments and procedural motions. There has been speculation on social media and talkback about the two parts of Labor's motion being uncoupled but I think we all know where that could end up. (I also covered this idea in the introduction to my historic recap of the first day of Parliament in 1989).
