Tuesday, February 6, 2024

Announced Candidates For The Next Tasmanian State Election

NOTE 14/2: Guide main page has been launched.  Seat pages are up and linked from the headings below, I will try to keep updating this article too but as a lower priority.

Updates on the current "ultimatum" situation were posted on the previous article.  

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Introduction

This article is a list of endorsed or self-declared candidates who are running for the next Tasmanian state election; some unconfirmed or rumoured candidates are also mentioned in italics.  The election isn't "due" til May 2025 but could happen soon as a result of ongoing tensions between the Rockliff minority Liberal government and two MPs who defected to the crossbench.  I have written this article with two main possibilities in mind.  The first one is that the election is still at least a few months away or even next year, in which case the article will serve as a useful resource piece in the meantime and will help highlight the major early build-up of candidates for the benefit of history, with 83 known candidates at the time I started the article on 6 Feb 2024, some of whom have been running for many months.  The second is that the election is close and writing this piece now will be something of a waste of time, but in that case we will have an election!   So it's a win-win.   


(While it might be thought I would want there to be elections as often as possible, usually I resist calls for governments to go to them at any time before they are required or the government wants to.  This however is an exception: in terms of the personnel and issues at the 2021 election, I have seldom seen a parliament with a mandate that is so thoroughly expired.  Perhaps there will continue to be a Liberal minority government but if so it should be one determined by the people.)

This article will not contain bio details.  Incumbents are listed with a *.  

Based on the number of candidates already endorsed and the fact that the big three have many still to come, the record total of 158 set in the 1996 election could be threatened - perhaps less so if the election is called sooner rather than later.  [Edit 29/2: the record fell]

IMPORTANT: Tickets are not endorsed by parties in order except to the extent specified.  Candidate names are rotated within party groupings on different ballot papers.  Some incorrect reporting that Eric Abetz had been selected top of the Liberal ticket for Franklin has caused confusion - there is no top of the ticket for major parties.  Where a party has endorsed a specific order or declared a lead candidate I follow and state that - otherwise the list is alphabetical. 

For independents, incumbents are listed first, followed by others in alphabetical order.  Independents are running separately from each other unless indicated as a ticket.  Prominent independents are likely to register their own column.

The Voices Of Tasmania group has endorsed 10 independents and 4 so-called independents from the Local Network party, noting that some independents did not seek endorsement with them.  Those endorsed are: Offord, Garland, Freshney, Courtney, Davenport, Glade-Wright, T Cordover, Delaney (TLN), O'Byrne, Johnston,  Hickey, Campbell (TLN), Formby (TLN), Nunn (TLN).  

The Save UTAS Group has endorsed Lohberger.

Current Candidate Totals


Liberal 35
Labor 35
Greens 35
Independents 29
JLN 12
SFF 11
Local Network 5
Animal Justice 5

Total 167

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Bass (32)

Liberal

Michael Ferguson *
Rob Fairs
Chris Gatenby
Sarah Quaile
Julie Sladden
Richard Trethewie
Simon Wood *

Labor

Melissa Anderson
Roshan Dhingra
Janie Finlay*
Will Gordon
Adrian Hinds
Geoff Lyons
Michelle O’Byrne*

Greens
Listed in party's endorsed order
Cecily Rosol 
Tom Hall
Jack Fittler
Lauren Ball
Carol Barnett
Calum Hendry
Anne Layton-Bennett

Independents With Own Column

Lara Alexander*

Mark Brown

Jack Davenport 

Tim Walker


Jacqui Lambie Network

Angela Armstrong
Ludwig Johnson
Rebekah Pentland

Shooters Fishers and Farmers

Michael Frydrych (lead)

Animal Justice Party

Ivan Davis

Ungrouped Independents

Greg Quinn
George Razay

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Scratched: Jenny Hewson (ALP endorsed but withdrew), Andrew Harvey (SFF - announced but did not run)
Debunked rumours: there were unsupported rumours that Peter Gutwein (Lib) or Sarah Courtney (Lib) might be persuaded to return.  

Braddon (33)

Liberal

Felix Ellis*
Patrick Fabian
Roger Jaensch*
Sarina Laidler
Vonette Mead
Jeremy Rockliff*
Giovanna Simpson


Labor

Shane Broad*
Anita Dow*
Amanda Diprose
Samantha (Sam) Facey
Danielle Kidd
Adrian Luke
Chris Lynch

Greens

Listed in party's endorsed order
Darren Briggs
Michael McLoughlin
Petra Wilden 
Leeya Lovell 
Susanne Ward 
Erin Morrow 
Sarah Kersey 

Independents With Own Column

Craig Garland 

Jacqui Lambie Network

Miriam Beswick
Craig Cutts
James Redgrave

Shooters Fishers and Farmers

Dale Marshall (lead)
Brendon Jones
Kim Swanson

Animal Justice Party

Julia King

Ungrouped Independents

Gatty Burnett
Andrea Courtney
Peter Freshney 
Liz Hamer

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Clark (35)

Liberal

Mohammad Aldergham
Emma Atterbury
Simon Behrakis*
Jon Gourlay
Madeleine Ogilvie*
Catherine Searle
Marcus Vermey

Labor

Stuart Benson
Simon Davis
Ella Haddad*
John Kamara
Rebecca Prince
Susan Wallace
Josh Willie

(NB Willie is incumbent Legislative Councillor for Elwick)

Greens
Listed in party's endorsed order
Vica Bayley*
Helen Burnet
Janet Shelley
Nathan Volf
Trenton Hoare
James Zalotockyj
Peter Jones

Independents With Own Column 

Kristie Johnston* 

Louise Elliot

Ben Lohberger

Sue Hickey 

Jacqui Lambie Network

(JLN have said they would not contest Clark but I also heard indirectly that this may not be final.)

Shooters Fishers and Farmers

Adrian Pickin (lead)
Lorraine Bennett

Animal Justice Party

Casey Davies

Local Network

Sam Campbell 
Frank Formby 
David Nunn  
Ranae Zollner

Ungrouped Independents

John Forster
Angela Triffitt
Stefan Vogel

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Posselt Preselection: Ryan Posselt publicly sought ALP preselection but was eventually not picked, and then was announced as an independent by Voices of Tasmania on 26 Feb, but that was an error and he was deleted later.  
Scratched: Elise Archer (IND) was briefly a candidate then withdrew for medical reasons. Allyson Brophy was a Facebook-announced IND but did not run.  
Earlier Elliot rumour:  The Mercury reported an unsourced claim that Louise Elliot could seek Liberal preselection. Elliot announced on 15 Feb that she would not run at all, but then on 21 Feb that she would run as an independent.    

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Franklin (31)

Liberal

Eric Abetz
Aldo Antolli
Josh Garvin
Jock McGregor
Jacquie Petrusma
Nic Street*
Dean Young*

(Petrusma was elected at the last election but resigned during this term.)

Labor

Ebony Altimira
Simon Bailey
Meg Brown
Kaspar Deane
Philip Pregnell
Toby Thorpe
Dean Winter*

Greens
Listed in party's endorsed order
Rosalie Woodruff* 
Gideon Cordover
Jade Darko
Owen Fitzgerald
Jenny Cambers-Smith
Lukas Mrosek
Christine Campbell

Independents With Own Column

David O'Byrne*

Clare Glade-Wright

Tony Mulder

Jacqui Lambie Network

Marshall Callaghan
Chris Hannan
Connor Hallahan

Animal Justice Party

Jehni Thomas-Wurth

Local Network

Martine Delaney

Ungrouped Independents

Tamar Cordover
Bob Elliston

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Considered: Brendan Blomeley (Liberal) was reported as considering running as an independent as of 22 Feb.but didn't run
Mysterious noises: Fabiano Cangelosi who ran as a Labor candidate in 2021 engaged in a persistent Twitter monologue about being trapped in a curtain. However he then announced he was seeking Labor preselection for the seat of Elwick.  
Scratched: Anna Spinaze (Local Network), candidate page was up but did not run

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Lyons (36)

Liberal

Guy Barnett*
Gregory Brown
Stephanie Cameron
Justin Derksen
Richard Hallett
Jane Howlett
Mark Shelton*

(NB Howlett is incumbent Legislative Councillor for Prosser)

Labor

Edwin Batt
Jen Butler*
Ben Dudman
Casey Farrell
Richard Goss
Carole McQueeney
Rebecca White*

Greens
Listed in party's endorsed order
Tabatha Badger 
Alistair Allan
Mitch Houghton
Hannah Rubenach-Quinn
Craig Brown
Glenn Millar
Gary Whisson

Independents With Own Column

John Tucker* 

Angela Offord

Jacqui Lambie Network

Andrew Jenner
Troy Pfitzner
Lesley Pyecroft

Shooters Fishers and Farmers

Philip Bigg
Shane Broadby
Carlo DiFalco
Wayne Turale
Ray Williams

Animal Justice Party

Anna Gralton

Ungrouped Independents

Jenny Branch-Allan
Fraser Miller
Andrew Roberts
Lou Triffitt

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Scratched: Michelle Dracoulis (ALP endorsed but withdrew), Wayne Johnston (LIB endorsed but withdrew) 
Nationals: A rumour that John Tucker could run as a National (party is not registered but could get an ungrouped column) did not come to anything.

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1 comment:

  1. Comment from Chris McBride:

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    Hi Kevin

    Looking at division of Clark, I think you are missing the * referencing Vika Bayley (Greens) as incumbent.

    Also I've seen Elise Archer has taken out a giant electronic billboard above the Winston hotel (Elizabeth St) thanking for support. Any whispers if this is a precursor to her running again?

    Thanks,
    Chris
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    Reply from KB (Bayley issue fixed, thought I'd already fixed it!) I've been asked about the Archer billboard by press - I think she genuinely wanted to thank voters, but it's not surprising people interpret it as a sign she might run again. The question I'd ask re that is why she would have quit her seat in the first place as she has now slipped out of the limelight compared to October.

    ReplyDelete

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