Dr Kevin Bonham

ELECTORAL, POLLING AND POLITICAL ANALYSIS, COMMENT, NEWS AND FAR TOO MANY TYPOS FROM THE PEOPLE'S REPUBLIC OF CLARK. IF USING THIS SITE ON MOBILE YOU CAN SCROLL DOWN AND CLICK "VIEW WEB VERSION" TO SEE THE SIDEBAR FULL OF GOODIES.

Thursday, July 17, 2025

2025 Tasmanian Polling Aggregate V1

Live coverage on election night on Pulse Tasmania - Link will be posted here when known - No paywall! TASMANIA 2025 POLLING AGGREGATE (NOT A...

Tuesday, July 15, 2025

Bradfield Court Of Disputed Returns Challenge

BRADFIELD (NSW, IND, 0.01) Disputed Returns challenge to win by Nicolette Boele over Gisele Kapterian (Lib) by 26 votes This is an ongoing t...

Monday, July 14, 2025

DemosAU: More Friendly Fire Than Seat Swing?

DemosAU Lib 34.9 ALP 24.7 Green 15.6 Nat 2.7 SF+F 1.8 IND 20.3 Total of projected individual seat breakdowns for this poll Lib 13 ALP 10 Gre...

Friday, July 11, 2025

2025 Federal Post-Election Pendulum

13/7 Note for Tasmanian audiences: detailed comments on the Pulse Media DemosAU poll will be posted late tonight/tomorrow. ----------------...

Sunday, July 6, 2025

What Can We Really Draw From The Liberal EMRS Poll?

EMRS JUNE 15-17/JUNE 29-JULY 1 FIRST WAVE LIB 32.3 ALP 28.7 GREEN 14 IND 19.2 NAT 1.8 OTHER 3.9 SECOND WAVE LIB 34.5 ALP 28.2 GREEN 13.9 IND...

Saturday, July 5, 2025

2025 Federal Election Pollster Performance Review

NOTE FOR TASMANIAN READERS: Comments re the Liberal-commissioned EMRS poll will be added tonight (Sunday 6th), possibly around 8 pm. -------...

Friday, July 4, 2025

What Happens If An Ineligible Candidate Wins In A Tasmanian State Election?

This article is part of my 2025 Tasmanian election coverage. Link to main guide page including links to seat guides and voting advice. ----...

Tuesday, July 1, 2025

There Must Be Some Way Out Of Here: YouGov and DemosAU Tasmanian Polls

YouGov Liberal 31 Labor 34 Green 13 IND 18 other 4 DemosAU Liberal 34 Labor 26.3 Green 15.1 IND 19.3 other 5.3 IND vote likely overstated ...

Monday, June 30, 2025

How To Best Use Your Vote In The 2025 Tasmanian Election

This piece is part of my Tasmanian 2025 election coverage - link to 2025 guide page including links to electorate guides and other articles....

View web version

About Me

Kevin Bonham: Hobart, Tasmania, Australia; "Ego as big as Texas and about as flexible as a steel bar." - Ian Rist (Tasmanian fox conspiracist) ... "a spectacularly awful person with the morals and ethics of a snake." - Matthew Sweeney (chess troll) ... "great defender of logging" - Adam Burling (forest recidivist) ... "self appointed polling maestro" - Professor Peter ('Nazis are socialists') van Onselen ... "a pragmatist and a propagandist who panders to the greed of the powerful" - Malcolm Mackerras AO ... "rude and ridiculously self-important" - Mike Carlton (Twitter's most boring swearer) ... "eminently undesirable" - Van Badham ... "an eminent member of our society" - Rosemary Armitage MLC ... For a ridiculously old profile article that badly needs updating (including disclosure statement) see here. For email link click on profile.

View my complete profile

blogger counter

Powered by Blogger.