Dr Kevin Bonham

ELECTORAL, POLLING AND POLITICAL ANALYSIS, COMMENT AND NEWS FROM THE PEOPLE'S REPUBLIC OF CLARK. THIS MACHINE KILLS BAD ELECTORAL SYSTEMS. IF USING THIS SITE ON MOBILE YOU CAN SCROLL DOWN AND CLICK "VIEW WEB VERSION" TO SEE THE SIDEBAR FULL OF GOODIES.

Sunday, September 6, 2026

uComms: Tas Labor Getting Run Out Of The Stadium

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 uComms Tas (state) Lib 26.8 ALP 21.8 ON 18.4 Grn 15.9 IND 15.0 SFF 1.6 Nat 0.1 others 0.5 Seat estimate Lib 10 ALP 9 ON 8 Grn 4-5 IND 3-4 T...
Friday, September 4, 2026

The Flat Field: Another "Polls Are Wrong" Vid Gets It Wrong!

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Five years ago I debunked a drippy poll denial video by the supposedly left wing West Media. Now here from Topher Field (not that he deser...
Friday, August 28, 2026

Secret Harbour By-Election: Prospects And Live

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Secret Harbour (ALP 11.54%) George Tree (ALP) vs Luke Herdegen (ON), Ryan Robertson (Lib) and way too many others Cause of by-election: resi...
3 comments:
Friday, August 21, 2026

EMRS: Thirty Or Turkey By Christmas?

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EMRS Lib 26 (+1) ALP 23 (-1) ON 21 (+2) Grn 16 (+2) IND 14 (-2) others 1 (-1) Seat estimate (new boundaries) Lib 10 ALP 9 ON 8 Green 5 IND 3...
2 comments:

Four Year Terms? Fixed Terms? Fixed Four Year Terms? Part One - Polling

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This week there was an  article regarding a report released by a lobby group called 4 Year Terms Australia, which supports "fixed...
3 comments:
Wednesday, August 19, 2026

Group Ticket Voting In Victoria Is Finally Gone!

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Today is Victoria's first day since the mid-2000s without Group Ticket Voting in state elections.  Legislation to abolish the system rec...
Tuesday, July 28, 2026

Group Ticket Voting: Going, Going ... ? (Rolling Thread)

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GTV repeal has passed Assembly unanimously and Legislative Council with a handful of votes against. ----------------------- There is more en...

Not-A-Poll Reset 2 of 2026: Allan Resigns

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It's another success for voters in the Next Leader To Go Not-A-Poll as the outright majority favourite was indeed the next leader to dep...
4 comments:
Friday, July 24, 2026

Tasmania Redistribution: The Franklin Renaming Fiasco

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In 1984 there was a proposal to rename the electorate that is now called Lyons (and was then called Wilmot) "Truganini".  For a li...
1 comment:
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About Me

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Kevin Bonham
Hobart, Tasmania, Australia
"Ego as big as Texas and about as flexible as a steel bar." - Ian Rist (Tasmanian fox conspiracist) ..."a spectacularly awful person with the morals and ethics of a snake." - Matthew Sweeney (chess troll) ... "great defender of logging" - Adam Burling (forest recidivist) ... "self appointed polling maestro" - Professor Peter ('Nazis are socialists') van Onselen ... "a pragmatist and a propagandist who panders to the greed of the powerful" - Malcolm Mackerras AO ... "political actor" - William Bourke, founder of the so-called "Sustainable Australia" party ..."rude and ridiculously self-important" - Mike Carlton (Twitter's most boring swearer) ... "eminently undesirable" - Van Badham ... "an eminent member of our society" - Rosemary Armitage MLC ... For a ridiculously old profile article that badly needs updating (including disclosure statement) see here.For email link click on profile.
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