Dr Kevin Bonham

ELECTORAL, POLLING AND POLITICAL ANALYSIS, COMMENT AND NEWS FROM THE PEOPLE'S REPUBLIC OF CLARK. LET 2026 BE THE YEAR VICTORIA IS FINALLY FREED OF THE CURSE OF GROUP TICKET VOTING. IF USING THIS SITE ON MOBILE YOU CAN SCROLL DOWN AND CLICK "VIEW WEB VERSION" TO SEE THE SIDEBAR FULL OF GOODIES.

Thursday, May 21, 2026

Begging For Debunking: A Silly Article Re Stafford Preferences

It was as sure as night follows day, as sure as daylight savings fading the curtains (oh wait) that the Stafford by-election result would se...

Wednesday, May 20, 2026

Pre And Post Budget Federal Poll Roundup

2PP Aggregate 52.4 to Labor vs Coalition (term low, -0.8 since last week) Shadow-2PP 52.9 to Labor vs One Nation (-0.6 since last week) Labo...

Monday, May 18, 2026

EMRS: The State Where No Party Has Votes

EMRS Lib 25 (-4) ALP 24 (+1) ON 19 (+5) GRN 14 (-1) IND 16 (+1) others 2 (-2) Seat estimate off this poll if election "held now" L...

Thursday, May 14, 2026

Stafford By-Election: Prospects and Live

Stafford (ALP 5.32%) Luke Richmond (ALP) vs Fiona Hammond (LNP) and others Cause of by-election: death of Jimmy Sullivan (ALP/IND) ALP retai...

Saturday, May 9, 2026

Farrer By-Election Live

Farrer (Lib vs IND 6.2%, Lib vs ALP 12.9%) Raissa Butkowski (Lib) vs Michelle Milthorpe (IND), David Farley (ON) and others Cause of by-elec...

Wednesday, May 6, 2026

The Urban Myth That "Sack Dan Andrews" Was A Labor Front

Does this look like a Labor front to you? Group ticket voting in Victoria has again been in the news a lot lately - see my latest article ab...

Monday, May 4, 2026

Would Scrapping Group Ticket Voting In Victoria Help One Nation?

On this website I have frequently covered Victoria's ongoing failure to repeal the use of Group Ticket Voting in state Legislative Counc...

Saturday, May 2, 2026

Legislative Council 2026: Huon and Rosevears Live And Post-Count (Plus Nepean!)

Huon: Clare Glade-Wright (IND) elected, gain from Dean Harriss (IND) Rosevears: Jo Palmer (Lib) retain. NEPEAN (VIC): CALLED 8:30 pm Marsh ...

Friday, April 10, 2026

The Amazing 2026 South Australian Election: Final Lower House Results And Poll Performance

SA 2026 ALP 34 (+5) Lib 5 (-9) ON 4 (+4) IND 4 (-) (Changes from pre-election/notional; Labor gained two seats from Liberal during 2022-6 te...

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About Me

Kevin Bonham: Hobart, Tasmania, Australia; "Ego as big as Texas and about as flexible as a steel bar." - Ian Rist (Tasmanian fox conspiracist) ... "a spectacularly awful person with the morals and ethics of a snake." - Matthew Sweeney (chess troll) ... "great defender of logging" - Adam Burling (forest recidivist) ... "self appointed polling maestro" - Professor Peter ('Nazis are socialists') van Onselen ... "a pragmatist and a propagandist who panders to the greed of the powerful" - Malcolm Mackerras AO ... "rude and ridiculously self-important" - Mike Carlton (Twitter's most boring swearer) ... "eminently undesirable" - Van Badham ... "an eminent member of our society" - Rosemary Armitage MLC ... For a ridiculously old profile article that badly needs updating (including disclosure statement) see here. For email link click on profile.

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