Thursday, January 15, 2026

Why Hunter 2025 Can't Be Used To Do Last-Election Labor vs One Nation Preference Flows

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With the very rapid rise of One Nation in recent national primary voting intention polling we are starting to see some pollsters offer a nat...
1 comment:
Thursday, January 8, 2026

This Person And Why They Are Wrong: Episode 1, Wasted Vote Guy

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  The gloriously cooked tweet above reminded me of a series I'd been intending to start where now and then I would cover someone known i...
3 comments:
Saturday, January 3, 2026

Helen Burnet Quits The Greens!

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Witnesses to political history Tasmanian politics has seldom seemed sober for long since the day in 2023 when two Liberal backbenchers annou...
1 comment:
Wednesday, December 31, 2025

2025 Site Review

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At the end of each year I post a review of the activities on this site in that year and 2025 was a big one.  For the first time since I star...
Thursday, December 25, 2025

Australia's Worst Oppositions: Phase 2 Not-A-Poll Results

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 Secular seasons greetings and goodwill to all readers.  As noted almost every year it's an almost annual tradition on this site to rele...
Saturday, December 20, 2025

2025 Polling Year In Review

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2PP Average For Year 53.9 to ALP (+3.0) At the end of each year I release a review of the year in federal polling.  See the 2024 article her...
Monday, November 24, 2025

EMRS: Liberals Slip But Labor Again Doesn't Pick Up The Scraps

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EMRS Lib 34 ALP 25 Green 17 IND 19 others 5 Seat estimate off this poll if election "held now" Lib 13 (-1) ALP 10 Green 6 (+1) IND...

Brad Battin's Booting Is A Poll History Outlier

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(Note for Tasmanian audiences: I will have the usual article about the latest EMRS poll up sometime tonight or tomorrow) The last fortnight ...
Tuesday, November 4, 2025

DemosAU: Liberals Increase Lead Ahead Of Budget

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DemosAU: Lib 41 Labor 24 Green 15 IND 14 SFF 2 others 4 Liberals would be re-elected in minority, probably gaining one seat A surprise Demos...
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