Sunday, March 1, 2026

Tasmania Redistribution: Draft Scraps The Franklin Divide

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  The much-awaited proposal redistribution of Tasmania's federal (and by normal standards, state) electoral boundaries has been publishe...
5 comments:
Saturday, February 28, 2026

Why Did One Nation Win 11 Seats In Queensland 1998 But None In 1998 Federal?

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The One Nation party (which I am on the verge of restyling Wuss Nation after its sobbing about its poor supporters being traumatised by fill...
Friday, February 27, 2026

Tall Cories: Bernardi's Bunkum About Preferences

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I was going to leave a comment about this until the next SA roundup but I feel that Cory Bernardi's nonsense about compulsory preferenti...
Monday, February 23, 2026

EMRS: What Happens When You Take A Mess And Then Throw In One Nation?

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EMRS Lib 29 (-5) ALP 23 (-2) Green 15 (-2) IND 15 (-4) ON 14 (new) others 4 (-1) Seat estimate off this poll if election "held now...
1 comment:
Friday, February 20, 2026

South Australia 2026: What Can The Right Still Win?

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Polling for SA election is very lopsided with right very fragmented Estimate if Newspoll is correct: approx 1 Liberal and 3 One Nation seats...
1 comment:
Sunday, February 15, 2026

Farrer By-Election 2026

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Farrer (Lib vs IND 6.2%, Lib vs ALP 12.9%) By-Election date TBD, perhaps late April/early May Cause of by-election resignation of Sussan Ley...
1 comment:
Friday, February 13, 2026

DemosAU: Status Quo-ish Poll, But Is There An Elephant Outside The Room?

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DemosAU: Liberal 35 Labor 23  Greens 15  IND 17 SF+F 4 others 6 Although poll finds Liberals down five on election, most likely result based...

Not-A-Poll Reset 1 of 2026: Ley Rolled

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Well at least she lasted longer than Alexander Downer. As expected by a strong plurality of voters in my sidebar Not-A-Poll, Sussan Ley, who...
Saturday, January 31, 2026

The Low Impact Of Independent Preferences In Labor's 2025 Federal Win

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At the 2025 federal election, more votes that were 1 One Nation or 1 Trumpet of Patriots (combined) finished up with Labor candidates as pre...
2 comments: