Dr Kevin Bonham

ELECTORAL, POLLING AND POLITICAL ANALYSIS, COMMENT AND NEWS FROM THE PEOPLE'S REPUBLIC OF CLARK. LET 2026 BE THE YEAR VICTORIA IS FINALLY FREED OF THE CURSE OF GROUP TICKET VOTING. IF USING THIS SITE ON MOBILE YOU CAN SCROLL DOWN AND CLICK "VIEW WEB VERSION" TO SEE THE SIDEBAR FULL OF GOODIES.

Friday, April 10, 2026

The Amazing 2026 South Australian Election: Final Lower House Results And Poll Performance

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SA 2026 ALP 34 (+5) Lib 5 (-9) ON 4 (+4) IND 4 (-) (Changes from pre-election/notional; Labor gained two seats from Liberal during 2022-6 te...
Tuesday, April 7, 2026

Legislative Council 2026: Rosevears

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ROSEVEARS (2020 margin Lib vs IND 0.57%) This is my second guide to the Legislative Council this year.  My guide for Huon is here and my la...
1 comment:
Tuesday, March 31, 2026

Tasmania Redistribution: The Reaction

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Yesterday the AEC released public feedback on the proposed radical redistribution as previously covered here ( Draft Scraps The Franklin Div...
2 comments:
Saturday, March 28, 2026

Legislative Council Voting Patterns 2022-6

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In the leadup to the 2026 Legislative Council elections for Huon and Rosevears (link TBA when I've written it) this article is my annua...
2 comments:
Sunday, March 22, 2026

South Australia Postcount 2026: Finniss

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FINNISS (Lib vs ALP 6.7%, Lib vs IND 0.7%) David Basham (Lib) vs Lou Nicholson (IND)  Nicholson wins from fourth position on primaries.  Unp...

South Australia Postcount 2026: Hammond (And Ngadjuri)

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Hammond (Lib 5.1%) Robert Roylance (ON) vs Simone Bailey (ALP) vs Adrian Pederick (Lib) Roylance expected to win ( Link to tallyboard thread...
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South Australia Postcount 2026: Kavel

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KAVEL (Retiring IND vs Lib 25.4, notional Liberal vs ALP 3.5) Matt Schultz (IND) vs David Leach (ALP) vs Bradley Orr (Lib) - Schultz expecte...

South Australia 2026: Postcount Summary, Links Hub and Basic 2CP Contests

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SEATS WON  ALP 34 Lib 5 ON 4 IND 4 Seats covered Finniss   (Liberal) - Liberal vs One Nation vs IND, IND has won from fourth Kavel   (IND va...
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South Australia 2026 Postcount: Heysen

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HEYSEN (Lib 2.6%) Josh Teague (Lib) vs Marisa Bell (Labor) and Genevieve Dawson-Scott (Green) Teague very narrowly leads Bell, but Bell not ...
2 comments:
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About Me

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Kevin Bonham
Hobart, Tasmania, Australia
"Ego as big as Texas and about as flexible as a steel bar." - Ian Rist (Tasmanian fox conspiracist) ... "a spectacularly awful person with the morals and ethics of a snake." - Matthew Sweeney (chess troll) ... "great defender of logging" - Adam Burling (forest recidivist) ... "self appointed polling maestro" - Professor Peter ('Nazis are socialists') van Onselen ... "a pragmatist and a propagandist who panders to the greed of the powerful" - Malcolm Mackerras AO ... "rude and ridiculously self-important" - Mike Carlton (Twitter's most boring swearer) ... "eminently undesirable" - Van Badham ... "an eminent member of our society" - Rosemary Armitage MLC ... For a ridiculously old profile article that badly needs updating (including disclosure statement) see here. For email link click on profile.
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