Dr Kevin Bonham

ELECTORAL, POLLING AND POLITICAL ANALYSIS, COMMENT AND NEWS FROM THE PEOPLE'S REPUBLIC OF CLARK. THOSE WHO WANT TO BAN TEENAGERS FROM SOCIAL MEDIA ARE NOT LETTING KIDS BE KIDS, THEY'RE MAKING TEENAGERS BE KIDS.

Tuesday, November 19, 2024

Queensland 2024: Final Results And Poll Performance

Queensland: LNP 52 ALP 36 KAP 3 GREEN 1 IND 1 2PP Estimate 53.76% to LNP (+6.89% from 2020) The 2024 Queensland election is over. At one st...

Monday, November 18, 2024

EMRS: Is Labor Finally Making Some Progress? / Hobart Poll Controversy

EMRS Lib 35 (-1) ALP 31 (+4) Greens 14 (=) JLN 6 (-2) IND 11 (-1) others 3 (=) IND likely overstated, others likely understated Liberals wou...

Thursday, November 14, 2024

Poll Roundup: Labor Loses The Lead!

All things must pass. 2PP Aggregate (Last Election Preferences) 50.1-49.9 to Coalition (+0.4, first Coalition lead of term) With One Natio...

Tuesday, November 12, 2024

Rebecca White and Anne Urquhart To Run For House Of Reps

I have four (!) articles I'm aiming to write for this site in the next week or so but the first cab off the rank should be the one where...

Sunday, November 10, 2024

The Pressure Valve: Does The Defeat Of Same-Party State Governments Help Federal Governments?

It's 1992. The unpopular Cain/Kirner Victorian Labor government has been sent packing. In comes Jeff Kennett and some voters are soon ...

Monday, October 28, 2024

Not-A-Poll Reset 2 of 2024: Miles Defeated

Following Labor's heavy defeat in the Queensland election (and no it wasn't close) it's time to start another round of the sideb...

Sunday, October 27, 2024

Queensland 2024 Postcount

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Donati ons welcome! Cleaning u...

Saturday, October 26, 2024

Queensland 2024 Election Night Live

2020 Election Result ALP 52 LNP 34 KAP 3 Green 2 PHON 1 IND 1 At 2024 Election ALP 51 LNP 35 KAP 4 Green 2 IND 1 Substantial swing to LNP, 2...

Friday, October 25, 2024

Queensland Polling Narrows Further In The Final Days

LAST-ELECTION PREFS AGGREGATE: 52.4-47.6 TO LNP SEAT PROJECTION OFF STATE POLLS IF THIS 2PP IS ACCURATE: LNP 48 ALP 37 GRN 4 KAP 3 IND 1 (...

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About Me

Kevin Bonham: Hobart, Tasmania, Australia; "Ego as big as Texas and about as flexible as a steel bar." - Ian Rist (Tasmanian fox conspiracist) ... "a spectacularly awful person with the morals and ethics of a snake." - Matthew Sweeney (chess troll) ... "great defender of logging" - Adam Burling (forest recidivist) ... "self appointed polling maestro" - Professor Peter ('Nazis are socialists') van Onselen ... "a pragmatist and a propagandist who panders to the greed of the powerful" - Malcolm Mackerras AO ... "rude and ridiculously self-important" - Mike Carlton (Twitter's most boring swearer) ... "eminently undesirable" - Van Badham ... "an eminent member of our society" - Rosemary Armitage MLC ... For far too much more (including disclosure statement) see here. For email link click on profile.

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