Showing posts with label independents. Show all posts
Showing posts with label independents. Show all posts
Sunday, March 22, 2026

South Australia Postcount 2026: Finniss

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FINNISS (Lib vs ALP 6.7%, Lib vs IND 0.7%) David Basham (Lib) vs Lou Nicholson (IND)  Nicholson wins from fourth position on primaries.  Unp...
Friday, March 20, 2026

South Australia 2026: Final Polls Still Have Liberals Third

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Average of final week polls ALP 37.1% Liberal 17.6 One Nation 23.3 Greens 11.2 others 10.8 If polls are accurate, Labor wins election easily...
Friday, February 20, 2026

South Australia 2026: What Can The Right Still Win?

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Polling for SA election is very lopsided with right very fragmented Estimate if Newspoll is correct: approx 1 Liberal and 3 One Nation seats...
1 comment:
Saturday, January 31, 2026

The Low Impact Of Independent Preferences In Labor's 2025 Federal Win

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At the 2025 federal election, more votes that were 1 One Nation or 1 Trumpet of Patriots (combined) finished up with Labor candidates as pre...
2 comments:
Sunday, July 20, 2025

2025 Tasmanian Postcount: Franklin

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ALL NUMBERS HERE ARE UNOFFICIAL - CHECK THE  TEC PAGE  FOR OFFICIAL NUMBERS FRANKLIN (2024 Result 3 Liberal 2 Labor 1 Green 1 IND) SEATS WON...

2025 Tasmanian Postcount: Clark

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ALL NUMBERS HERE ARE UNOFFICIAL - CHECK THE  TEC PAGE  FOR OFFICIAL NUMBERS CLARK (2024 Result 2 Liberal 2 Labor 2 Green 1 IND) SEATS WON (C...
9 comments:
Friday, July 18, 2025

Tasmania 2025: YouGov Has Majors Much Closer

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  Live coverage at this link on election night This article is part of my Tasmanian 2025 election coverage.  Click here for link to main gui...
1 comment:
Monday, July 14, 2025

DemosAU: More Friendly Fire Than Seat Swing?

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DemosAU Lib 34.9 ALP 24.7 Green 15.6 Nat 2.7 SF+F 1.8 IND 20.3 Total of projected individual seat breakdowns for this poll Lib 13 ALP 10 Gre...
17 comments:
Tuesday, May 20, 2025

EMRS: Government Trails Placebo Opposition

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EMRS LIB 29 (-5) ALP 31 (+1) GRN 14 (+1) JLN 6 (-2) IND 17 (+5) Others 3 Independent is generic option - likely overstates support at actual...
2 comments:
Monday, May 5, 2025

2025 House of Reps Postcount: Monash

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MONASH (Vic, Lib 2.9%, occupied by deselected ex-Lib IND) Issue was whether Deb Leonard (IND) could make final two and whether she could win...
5 comments:
Sunday, April 13, 2025

Federal 2025: Classifying The Independents

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In the list of declared candidates for the 2025 federal election, there was an unsurprising upswing in the number of independents.  There ar...
10 comments:
Thursday, March 27, 2025

Legislative Council Voting Patterns 2021-25

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A strange thing happened in the LegCo on the 20th of November last year.  In debate about the Expungement of Historical Offences Amendment B...
Tuesday, April 2, 2024

Legislative Council Voting Patterns 2020-24

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This article is part of my Tasmanian 2024 Legislative Council coverage.  Coverage of the lower house election continues with postcount artic...
Sunday, March 24, 2024

Tasmania Embraces Chaos: 2024 Election Tallyboard And Summary

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TASMANIA 2024: Liberal Minority Government Expected (Subject to will of the parliament) Labor appears to be not seeking to form government  ...
21 comments:

2024 Tasmanian Postcount: Franklin

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FRANKLIN (2021 Result 2 Liberal 2 Labor 1 Green - At election 2 Liberal 1 Labor 1 Green 1 IND) Notional 2021 7-Seat Result 3 Liberal 3 Labor...
7 comments:
Friday, March 1, 2024

Mystery Poll: Why Are We Still Playing This Game?

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(This is part of my 2024 Tasmanian election coverage.  For main page with links to all other pages go here .) Today's Mercury carried a ...
4 comments:
Wednesday, February 28, 2024

EMRS: Liberals Have Big Lead But Still Well Short Of 50

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This article is part of my 2024 Tasmanian state election coverage - link to main article page EMRS Liberal 39 Labor 26 (-3) Greens 12 JLN 9 ...
9 comments:
Saturday, February 17, 2024

2024 Tasmanian State Election Guide: Lyons

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This is the Lyons electorate guide for the 2021 Tasmanian State Election.  ( Link to main 2024 election preview page, including links to oth...
3 comments:
Friday, February 16, 2024

2024 Tasmanian State Election Guide: Franklin

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This is the Franklin electorate guide for the 2024 Tasmanian State Election.  ( Link to main 2024 election preview page, including links to ...
1 comment:

2024 Tasmanian State Election Guide: Clark

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This is the Clark electorate guide for the 2024 Tasmanian State Election.  ( Link to main 2024 election preview page, including links to oth...
2 comments: