Showing posts with label crossbenchers. Show all posts
Showing posts with label crossbenchers. Show all posts
Saturday, May 13, 2023

New South Wales 2023: Final Results, Poll Accuracy And 2PP Pendulum

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It's been a long time coming because of other work but here finally is my wrapup piece for the 2023 New South Wales lower house election...
4 comments:
Friday, July 22, 2022

2022 House Of Reps Figures Finalised

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Yesterday the 2022 House of Representatives figures were added to the archive of election results, making lots of the usual preference flow...
Friday, January 22, 2021

The Federal Government's Majority Is Three Seats, Not One

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(23 FEB 2021: Scroll down for Craig Kelly update; the headline is now out of date!) --------------------------------------------------------...
9 comments:
Wednesday, November 18, 2020

Queensland 2020: Final Results And Poll Accuracy

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 Queensland: ALP 52 LNP 34 KAP 3 GREEN 2 PHON 1 IND 1 2PP Estimate 53.13% to Labor (+1.9% from 2017) Another Queensland election is over.  I...
1 comment:
Sunday, August 4, 2019

2019 House of Reps Figures Finalised

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------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Donations welcome! If you find my coverage useful please co...
Monday, February 11, 2019

How Federal Crossbenchers Gain Seats

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I expect to release another Poll Roundup later this week, but have decided to put out something else I have been working on for a while firs...
Thursday, January 17, 2019

What Are The Prospects For A Labor-Green Senate Majority?

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I've had a few questions recently about the chances of a Labor-Green Senate majority after the 2019 federal election.  This is on the as...
15 comments:
Thursday, June 29, 2017

Will The Future See An Even Bigger Senate Crossbench?

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It's a long way from the next Senate election to be talking about the future of the Senate, and also a strange time to be doing it with ...
Wednesday, April 26, 2017

Poll Roundup: Recovery, Or Just Turbulence?

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2PP Aggregate: 52.4 to ALP (-1.1 since last week) Closest reading of 2017 so far Labor would win election "held now" with a mode...
Saturday, April 23, 2016

Some Recent Senate Polling And Related Claims

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This article assumes, for the sake of analysis, that the Senate election will be a double-dissolution under the new Senate system.  Neither ...
2 comments:
Sunday, March 20, 2016

Senate Reform Has Been Passed

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It's all over bar the High Court challenge(s).  On Friday, the Commonwealth Electoral Amendment Bill 2016 finally passed both houses of ...
18 comments: