Showing posts with label Turnbull. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Turnbull. Show all posts
Saturday, May 22, 2021

Upper Hunter By-Election Live And Post-Count

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----------------------------------------------------------- UPPER HUNTER (National, 2.6%) By-election caused by resignation of Michael Johns...
Saturday, June 29, 2019

What Might 2PP Voting Intention Have Really Looked Like In The Last Federal Term?

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(An update was added to this article on 2 July 2020 - scroll down.  The original text has not been revised.) The 2016-2019 parliament saw ...
7 comments:
Saturday, January 5, 2019

2018 Ehrlich Awards For Wrong Predictions

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"Labor Senator Murray Watt says Barnaby Joyce shouldn't be Acting PM. Who the hell is Murray Watt? Barnaby will be Acting PM next w...
9 comments:
Saturday, October 20, 2018

Wentworth Live: Majority On The Line Again (Plus Post-Count)

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WENTWORTH (Lib vs ALP 17.8%) Dave Sharma (Lib) vs Kerryn Phelps (IND) (16 candidates total) GAIN by Phelps (IND) - margin will exceed ...
38 comments:
Friday, October 19, 2018

Oh Yes We Do Have Strategic Voting In Australia (Sometimes)

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On Wednesday Alex Turnbull, who has been campaigning for voters to evict the Liberal Party from his father's former seat of Wentworth, s...
14 comments:
Monday, September 24, 2018

Poll Roundup: The Current Polls Aren't All That Meaningful

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2PP Aggregate: 54.2 to Labor (-0.6 since last week) by 2016 election preferences 53.6 to Labor with One Nation preference adjustment  Labo...
Sunday, August 26, 2018

Australia - So What The Bloody Hell Was That?

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For the fourth term in a row, the Australian Prime Minister following the previous election has failed to survive the term without being rem...
5 comments:
Tuesday, August 21, 2018

Spill!

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(This article will serve as rolling coverage of spill-related polling and other items.) Tuesday morning It's on! Turnbull vs Dutton....
22 comments:
Monday, August 20, 2018

Poll Roundup: Here We Go Again?

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2PP Aggregate: 52.8 to Labor (+1.2 since last week) by last election preferences 52.2 to Labor with One Nation adjustment Labor would comf...
2 comments:
Tuesday, July 17, 2018

Poll Roundup: National Narrowing As Super Saturday Approaches

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2PP Aggregate (2016 Preferences): 51.7% to ALP (-0.5 since last week, -1 in six weeks) With One Nation preference adjustment 51.1% to ALP ...
3 comments:
Wednesday, May 30, 2018

Poll Roundup: Unwanted Records On Both Sides

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2PP Aggregate: 52.3 to Labor (last-election preferences)  51.8 with One Nation adjustment  Coalition has improved 1.2 points in last eight...
Sunday, April 8, 2018

Newspoll Number 30: Rolling Comments

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"The one thing that is clear about our current situation is the trajectory. We have lost 30 Newspolls in a row. It is clear that the p...
6 comments:
Thursday, March 29, 2018

Poll Roundup: Number 29

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2PP Aggregate: 53.3 to ALP (-0.3 since last week) Labor would easily win election "held now" This week's federal polling co...
6 comments:
Monday, February 19, 2018

Poll Roundup: Barnaby 1, "Momentum" 0

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2PP Estimate By 2016 Preferences: 53.3 to ALP (same as end of last year) With historical One Nation adjustment: 52.8 to ALP Labor would wi...
2 comments:
Monday, January 1, 2018

2017 Ehrlich Awards For Wrong Predictions

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Welcome to the sixth annual Ehrlich Awards for Wrong Predictions .  I have to say from the outset, what a right bunch of wallies we have lin...
2 comments:
Wednesday, November 15, 2017

Poll Roundup: Citizenship Chaos Sends Government To New Term Low

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2PP Aggregate: 54.2 to Labor (+1 point in a week) - highest reading of term Labor would win election "held now" with a large marg...
8 comments:
Saturday, September 30, 2017

Not-A-Poll: Best Prime Minister Of The Last 45 Years - Round 2

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PRIMARY VOTE LEADER FROM ROUND 1: Whitlam EXCLUDED IN ROUND 1: Turnbull, Fraser Rudd continues only because of irregular voting patterns f...
3 comments:
Thursday, September 28, 2017

Poll Roundup: The Clock Strikes Twenty

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2PP Aggregate: 53.6 to ALP (+0.2 since last week) Labor would easily win election held "right now" This will be a rather brief ...
2 comments:
Thursday, August 31, 2017

Not-A-Poll: Best Prime Minister Of The Last 45 Years

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(Round 1 has closed.  For results see Round 2 .) Round 1 Now and then we see newspaper polls rating the best PMs of the last few decades...
11 comments:
Tuesday, August 22, 2017

Poll Roundup: Newspoll Moves! It Is Alive! (includes same-sex marriage polling)

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2PP: 53.5 to Labor (+0.3 since last week) Labor would win an election "held now" with a large majority Time for another roundup...
2 comments: