Dr Kevin Bonham

ELECTORAL, POLLING AND POLITICAL ANALYSIS, COMMENT AND NEWS FROM THE PEOPLE'S REPUBLIC OF CLARK. LET 2026 BE THE YEAR VICTORIA IS FINALLY FREED OF THE CURSE OF GROUP TICKET VOTING. IF USING THIS SITE ON MOBILE YOU CAN SCROLL DOWN AND CLICK "VIEW WEB VERSION" TO SEE THE SIDEBAR FULL OF GOODIES.

Showing posts with label Fox&Hedgehog. Show all posts

Friday, April 10, 2026

The Amazing 2026 South Australian Election: Final Lower House Results And Poll Performance

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SA 2026 ALP 34 (+5) Lib 5 (-9) ON 4 (+4) IND 4 (-) (Changes from pre-election/notional; Labor gained two seats from Liberal during 2022-6 te...

Friday, March 20, 2026

South Australia 2026: Final Polls Still Have Liberals Third

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Average of final week polls ALP 37.1% Liberal 17.6 One Nation 23.3 Greens 11.2 others 10.8 If polls are accurate, Labor wins election easily...

Friday, February 20, 2026

South Australia 2026: What Can The Right Still Win?

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Polling for SA election is very lopsided with right very fragmented Estimate if Newspoll is correct: approx 1 Liberal and 3 One Nation seats...

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Friday, January 30, 2026

Poll Roundup: What Do We Do With A Split Coalition ... Or A Rampant One Nation?

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2PP Aggregate 53.5-46.5 to ALP (-1.3 since end of 2025, +0.6 in two weeks) Shadow-2PP Trend Estimate 54.3-45.7 to ALP vs One Nation. One Na...

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Thursday, January 15, 2026

Why Hunter 2025 Can't Be Used To Do Last-Election Labor vs One Nation Preference Flows

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With the very rapid rise of One Nation in recent national primary voting intention polling we are starting to see some pollsters offer a nat...

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About Me

Kevin Bonham: Hobart, Tasmania, Australia; "Ego as big as Texas and about as flexible as a steel bar." - Ian Rist (Tasmanian fox conspiracist) ... "a spectacularly awful person with the morals and ethics of a snake." - Matthew Sweeney (chess troll) ... "great defender of logging" - Adam Burling (forest recidivist) ... "self appointed polling maestro" - Professor Peter ('Nazis are socialists') van Onselen ... "a pragmatist and a propagandist who panders to the greed of the powerful" - Malcolm Mackerras AO ... "rude and ridiculously self-important" - Mike Carlton (Twitter's most boring swearer) ... "eminently undesirable" - Van Badham ... "an eminent member of our society" - Rosemary Armitage MLC ... For a ridiculously old profile article that badly needs updating (including disclosure statement) see here. For email link click on profile.

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