Showing posts with label Australia Institute. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Australia Institute. Show all posts
Saturday, August 3, 2024

"Safe Seats" Falling Is Nothing New

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The Australia Institute and its director have been putting out a lot of its usual Hung Parliament Club type stuff about how "power sha...
Tuesday, March 12, 2024

uComms: Labor Just 23: How Much Stock Should We Put In This?

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This article is part of my 2024 Tasmanian election coverage -  link to main page  including links to electorate guides and effective voting ...
6 comments:
Saturday, July 10, 2021

Tasmanian Senate Contest And Integrity Commission Polling

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Over the last two days results have been emerging of an Australia Institute Tasmania poll about the Tasmanian Integrity Commission, together...
Saturday, April 24, 2021

What's This Then? Commissioned Poll Claims Liberals In Trouble

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 Australia Institute uComms: Liberal 41.4 Labor 32.1 Greens 12.4 IND 11 Other 3.1 If accurate Government would probably lose majority (appro...
11 comments:
Monday, December 7, 2020

Tasmania: Secrecy Concerns Or Just Secretive Polling?

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EMRS Tasmania (state): Liberal 52 Labor 25 Greens 13 Others 11 If accurate Liberals would increase their majority (14-16 Lib 7-8 ALP 2-3 Gr...
3 comments:
Thursday, November 21, 2019

Commissioned uComms Tasmanian State Poll

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uComms (commissioned by Australia Institute): Liberal 39.0 Labor 29.4 Green 16.8 Ind 11.7 Other 3.1.  Tasmanian state polling overstates vo...
Tuesday, October 29, 2019

Migrants Voting For One Nation and UAP? (Plus Some Polling Comments)

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A Few Pointed Words About Polling Before I start this article, a quick four paragraphs regarding polls, in lieu of a formal roundup.  Fi...
1 comment:
Friday, May 17, 2019

A few election notes (especially re Tasmania)

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Just a few quick notes on a number of things, mainly to bring links to various articles to the top. Election night coverage On election ...
11 comments:
Friday, May 3, 2019

Senate Voting: Another Poor Article By Richard Denniss

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It's a shame to have to be distracted from more important things (like counting all the candidate malfunctions this election) in order t...
Thursday, March 1, 2018

Tasmania 2018: Commissioned Pokies ReachTEL

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On 14 Feb 2018 the Australia Institute Tasmania conducted a ReachTEL poll for the 2018 state election ( see guide ), some questions from whi...
2 comments:
Thursday, January 18, 2018

New Commissioned Tasmanian Polls

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Tasmanian state election season is heating up with regular policy announcements (at least from the government) and rumours that the election...
3 comments:
Thursday, September 28, 2017

Poll Roundup: The Clock Strikes Twenty

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2PP Aggregate: 53.6 to ALP (+0.2 since last week) Labor would easily win election held "right now" This will be a rather brief ...
2 comments:
Friday, July 21, 2017

Fishy Prospects In The Seat Of Lyons

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ReachTEL Lyons: Lib 42 Labor 30.4 Green 12.4 Lambie Network 10 SF+F 2.7 Others 2.5 ReachTEL polls in Tasmania have in the past skewed again...
Thursday, June 29, 2017

Will The Future See An Even Bigger Senate Crossbench?

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It's a long way from the next Senate election to be talking about the future of the Senate, and also a strange time to be doing it with ...
Tuesday, June 7, 2016

Poll Roundup And Seat Betting Watch: Fear Of A Hung Parliament Edition

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2PP Aggregate: 50.2 to Labor (unchanged) Seat projection for this 2PP: probable narrow Coalition win, not necessarily with majority (estima...
11 comments:
Saturday, April 23, 2016

Some Recent Senate Polling And Related Claims

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This article assumes, for the sake of analysis, that the Senate election will be a double-dissolution under the new Senate system.  Neither ...
2 comments:
Wednesday, January 13, 2016

What Scientists Do: More On That Penalty Rates Poll

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In Monday's Crikey subscriber email, Ben Oquist of The Australia Institute (paywalled) took issue with some comments I made about TAI...
Tuesday, December 29, 2015

Polling And Penalty Rates

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(Note: this piece now has a follow-up.  See What Scientists Do ) Penalty rates have been on the political radar lately. A poll on the subj...
2 comments:
Wednesday, December 16, 2015

Poll Roundup: 2015 Year In Review

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2PP Aggregate: 53.5 to Coalition (+0.1) Coalition would win election held now with unchanged to slightly increased majority It's just...