Tuesday, July 28, 2026

Group Ticket Voting: Going, Going ... ? (Rolling Thread)

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GTV repeal has passed Assembly unanimously and Legislative Council with a handful of votes against. ----------------------- There is more en...

Not-A-Poll Reset 2 of 2026: Allan Resigns

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It's another success for voters in the Next Leader To Go Not-A-Poll as the outright majority favourite was indeed the next leader to dep...
4 comments:
Friday, July 24, 2026

Tasmania Redistribution: The Franklin Renaming Fiasco

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In 1984 there was a proposal to rename the electorate that is now called Lyons (and was then called Wilmot) "Truganini".  For a li...
1 comment:
Friday, July 17, 2026

Victoria 2026: The Election Where All Sorts Of Things Can Happen!

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Victoria Aggregate Labor 26.0 Coalition 27.3 Green 12.8 One Nation 23.7 others 10.3 (polls are probably underestimating "others" v...
2 comments:
Thursday, July 16, 2026

Is Group Ticket Voting Really On The Way Out In Victoria?

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The last week has brought the encouraging news via both The Age and The Herald-Sun that Victorian Labor is preparing legislation to scrap ...
2 comments:
Wednesday, July 15, 2026

Tasmania Redistribution: Announcement Day Live Thread

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Today could be a momentous day in the history of Tasmanian electoral boundaries!  Or it could be a nothing-ever-happens.  Around mid-morning...
Wednesday, July 8, 2026

DemosAU: Could Hare-Clark Help One Nation Shift Tasmania To The Right?

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DemosAU Liberal 28 Labor 21 One Nation 21 Greens 14 IND 12 SF+F 2 Others 2 Seat estimate if these vote shares were recorded in election ...
2 comments:
Tuesday, July 7, 2026

Tas Liberal Senate Turnover As Duniam And Askew To Go

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I had a piece in drafts almost ready to release for weeks about this, but perhaps just as well I didn't since further developments have ...
Wednesday, July 1, 2026

Essential Report Microblogging Disclaimers

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Frequently I post federal polling results and calculations to the microblogging sites Twitter (X) and Bluesky (links to my accounts in sideb...