Monday, November 24, 2025

EMRS: Liberals Slip But Labor Again Doesn't Pick Up The Scraps

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EMRS Lib 34 ALP 25 Green 17 IND 19 others 5 Seat estimate off this poll if election "held now" Lib 13 (-1) ALP 10 Green 6 (+1) IND...

Brad Battin's Booting Is A Poll History Outlier

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(Note for Tasmanian audiences: I will have the usual article about the latest EMRS poll up sometime tonight or tomorrow) The last fortnight ...
Tuesday, November 4, 2025

DemosAU: Liberals Increase Lead Ahead Of Budget

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DemosAU: Lib 41 Labor 24 Green 15 IND 14 SFF 2 others 4 Liberals would be re-elected in minority, probably gaining one seat A surprise Demos...
2 comments:
Monday, October 27, 2025

False Declaration: Minor Right Nonsense About Senate Reform

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Huge if true, but ... Recently my attention was drawn to an article on the Canberra Declaration website by one Dave Pellowe.  Pellowe is bet...
1 comment:
Saturday, October 25, 2025

Australia's Worst Oppositions: How Many Will Win?

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Recently I started a Not-A-Poll to determine who readers consider to be  Australia's worst opposition  in what I have dubbed a "gol...
Wednesday, October 22, 2025

Tasmanian Redistribution: Clark Must Expand, But Where?

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I don't usually get involved in redistribution speculation and lobbying (I don't even have the time and skill to draw nice maps) but...
8 comments:
Saturday, October 11, 2025

Yes Federal Parliament Should Be Expanded And No It Isn't A Partisan Fix

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Federal JSCEM season is upon us and who knows I might manage to write a submission soon.  But for now on this site I want to comment on one ...
3 comments:
Friday, September 26, 2025

2025-2028 2PP Aggregate Methods Page

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Because I have way too many things to do right now I decided in my usual fashion to do one more that isn't any of them!  Introducing my ...
3 comments:
Wednesday, September 17, 2025

Poll Roundup: Liberal Crisis As Honeymoon 2.0 Rumbles On

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 Cross-poll estimate 56.3 to Labor (+1.0 since election) I'm some way off putting out a 2025-8 term polling aggregate, partly because I ...
2 comments: