Dr Kevin Bonham

ELECTORAL, POLLING AND POLITICAL ANALYSIS, COMMENT AND NEWS FROM THE PEOPLE'S REPUBLIC OF CLARK. THIS MACHINE KILLS BAD ELECTORAL SYSTEMS. IF USING THIS SITE ON MOBILE YOU CAN SCROLL DOWN AND CLICK "VIEW WEB VERSION" TO SEE THE SIDEBAR FULL OF GOODIES.

Sunday, November 30, 2014

Victorian Election Postcount: Prahran

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  (Correct prediction posted to tallyroom.com.au . Notice date.) ======================================================================...
16 comments:

Victorian Election Wrap: Federal Drag Strikes Again

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Expected seat tally: ALP 47 L-NP 38 Green 1 Ind 1 (1 unclear) Unclear seat: Prahran (Lib vs ALP vs Green) Seats in minor doubt: Morwell...
Saturday, November 29, 2014

Victorian Election Live Election Day Thread

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SUMMARY  SEATS APPARENTLY WON ALP 47 L-NP 38 GRN 1 IND 1  (Seats included in tally with very low levels of doubt: Bentleigh,  Frankston (...
14 comments:

Victorian Election: Final Aggregate And Seat Model

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  Live analysis here on a new thread from 6 pm on election night.   2PP Aggregate using 2010 preferences: 51.7 to Labor Polls point t...
4 comments:
Friday, November 28, 2014

Victorian Poll Roundup: Endless 52-48 Edition

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2PP aggregate: 51.8 (-1.4) to ALP by last-election preferences (52.6 expected preferences) Current seat projection based on aggregate: 48...
Tuesday, November 25, 2014

EMRS: Liberals Fall To Four-Year Low

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EMRS: Liberal 42 (-4 since September) Labor 31 (-2) Green 19 (+3) Ind 6 (+3) PUP 2 (+1) Interpretation: Liberal 43 Labor 34 Green 17 PUP 2...
1 comment:
Thursday, November 20, 2014

Comments On The Lambie/PUP Split

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This is what Jacqui Lambie's Facebook page looked like before she joined PUP (image: @AutumnalMonk) In recent weeks the always edgy...
7 comments:
Tuesday, November 18, 2014

Poll Roundup: G20 No Help To Government

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2PP Aggregate: 53.1 to ALP (+0.8 since last week, +2.1 in five weeks, highest in four months) ALP would easily win election "held righ...
4 comments:
Saturday, November 15, 2014

Victorian Poll Roundup And Seat Betting Watch: Sandbelt Edition

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2PP aggregate of recent Victorian state polling:  ALP leads 53.2-46.8 "Nowcast" seat estimate based on this 2PP: ALP 49 Coaliti...
11 comments:
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Kevin Bonham
Hobart, Tasmania, Australia
"Ego as big as Texas and about as flexible as a steel bar." - Ian Rist (Tasmanian fox conspiracist) ..."a spectacularly awful person with the morals and ethics of a snake." - Matthew Sweeney (chess troll) ... "great defender of logging" - Adam Burling (forest recidivist) ... "self appointed polling maestro" - Professor Peter ('Nazis are socialists') van Onselen ... "a pragmatist and a propagandist who panders to the greed of the powerful" - Malcolm Mackerras AO ... "political actor" - William Bourke, founder of the so-called "Sustainable Australia" party ..."rude and ridiculously self-important" - Mike Carlton (Twitter's most boring swearer) ... "eminently undesirable" - Van Badham ... "an eminent member of our society" - Rosemary Armitage MLC ... For a ridiculously old profile article that badly needs updating (including disclosure statement) see here.For email link click on profile.
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