Tuesday, December 31, 2013

2013 site review

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This site started in October 2012 after I left Tasmanian Times*.    This is my second "annual" list of the most popular articles o...
1 comment:
Sunday, December 29, 2013

Unpopular State Premiers Have Dire Historic Fates

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An updated version of this article is available: see Unpopular State Premiers Still Have Dire Historic Fates (2020) -----------------------...
Wednesday, December 25, 2013

Legislative Council Voting Patterns Revised (2010-2013)

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Advance Summary 1. This article presents a revised analysis of voting patterns in the Legislative Council (the upper house of Tasmanian P...
2 comments:
Thursday, December 12, 2013

Abbott Fastest Ever To Lose Poll Lead

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Note: updates after Monday 16 Dec may or may not be slow for a while - other commitments.   Advance Summary: 1. Following the recent New...
1 comment:
Tuesday, December 10, 2013

Federal 2PP Aggregate Methods (44th Parliament)

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This post describes the revised aggregation methods used to produce the two-party preferred aggregate (unofficially nicknamed "Aggedor...
1 comment:
Tuesday, December 3, 2013

EMRS: Another Shocker for Labor

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EMRS: Lib 49 ALP 22 Grn 19 PUP 5 Ind 4 Others 1 Interpretation (provisional): Lib 49.5 ALP 26.5 Grn 16 PUP 5 Ind/Others 3 Outcome of th...
3 comments:
Friday, November 29, 2013

2013 Federal Election: Best And Worst Pollsters

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Ideally I would have written this article a few weeks after the election, while debates about the quality of polling before the election wer...
Thursday, November 28, 2013

2013 Federal Election Results Finalised ... Finally!

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The AEC has finally released the 2PP results for the various non-classic divisions at the 2013 election and hence the final 2PP result natio...
Tuesday, November 19, 2013

Paul Harriss To Contest Franklin

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A grenade has been tossed into the already explosive race for Franklin at next year's Tasmanian state election with the announcement ...