tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4052593945054595675.post8954100790285676289..comments2024-03-28T14:16:10.498+11:00Comments on Dr Kevin Bonham: Beautiful Losers: Australia's Leading Anti-Bellwether SeatsKevin Bonhamhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06845545257440242894noreply@blogger.comBlogger1125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4052593945054595675.post-41236687621783017282022-05-19T16:16:09.070+10:002022-05-19T16:16:09.070+10:00An interesting follow up would be the seats that d...An interesting follow up would be the seats that defy the trend at particular elections, based on a ratio of seats going in the other direction. Chisholm 2016 being the only L/NP gain from Labor in an election where Labor gained 16 seats from the L/NP is quite a stand out, as are Cowan/Swan in 2007. <br /><br />It would also be interesting to see state examples, which seem rarer (with states evidently being more uniform). Ripon in Victoria 2014 was a Liberal gain from Labor in an election where Labor returned to government, but that was after a redistribution that made the seat notionally Liberal. Liberals gained Miranda in NSW 2015, an election that was otherwise dominated by Labor gains from L/NP, but the seat only became Labor held in a byelection, and that ALP incumbent retired.Johnhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03536933978795184627noreply@blogger.com