tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4052593945054595675.post6764264860551970016..comments2024-03-28T14:16:10.498+11:00Comments on Dr Kevin Bonham: 2021 Tasmanian State Election Polling DroughtKevin Bonhamhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06845545257440242894noreply@blogger.comBlogger2125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4052593945054595675.post-26575616278612688432021-04-30T05:59:53.288+10:002021-04-30T05:59:53.288+10:00Just wanted to make the point that the idea of the...Just wanted to make the point that the idea of the latest poll being significantly more in favor of labor isn't half as groundbreaking as people think.Campaining is well underway and the last EMRS poll is months ago.That being said insuffcient polling has been disapointing and ucomms is suspect at best, they were 9% off in their latest poll in WA. I also found this on the wikipedia for the election. <br /><br />"The final leaders debate took place on Tuesday ..... Among the undecided voters who had attended the debate, White was clearly favored by the voters in the room, with a straw poll showing her with a 59% approval to Premier Gutwein's 15% approval with 26% remaining undecided." Maybe something similar has reflected in campaining?<br /><br />That being said the polls still don't show Labor even having a prayer at a majority IND/Greens too strong in Clark and Franklin. So I have no idea why 'Bec White made that "no minority government call". Even if it severely comprimises your legislative agenda why would you willingly give up the executive powers.<br /><br />For example NZ 2017, Jacinda was incredibly comprimised having to team up with the Greens and NZ first and giving Winston Peters the Deputy PM role to get it done. But Jacinda still prefered that to a National-NZ first coalition. I imagine it's just an election tactic but it's still interesting to see what she does if the libs fall short of 13.Bluejayhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06942345171307741272noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4052593945054595675.post-25614024575980212852021-04-29T16:33:32.982+10:002021-04-29T16:33:32.982+10:00A question I've never heard of being asked is,...A question I've never heard of being asked is, do we really need a state government? We live in a state where the population is less than a reasonably sized city on the mainland as well as 29 or so local council's. If there was ever a case for over governing, Tasmania is it. A possible solution is do away with ALL councils not just amalgamations and expand the state government, resurrect most of the government departments that have been hived off to private enterprise E.G PWD, housing department etc etc because at the moment this state is sinking and the election this weekend will not change things one iota. All we get is some sort of promise from whatever party that they'll deliver sunshine and lolly pops and all things are going to be fantastic when most people know it's all bullshite.<br />The biggest change needed after donation reforms is truth in advertising laws. Places like Canada can do it, why can't we?Barryhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08664699802718952449noreply@blogger.com