tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4052593945054595675.post4366609910462824214..comments2024-03-28T14:16:10.498+11:00Comments on Dr Kevin Bonham: Tasmanian State Election Late Night WrapKevin Bonhamhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06845545257440242894noreply@blogger.comBlogger1125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4052593945054595675.post-8780484935152954652014-03-16T08:38:14.614+11:002014-03-16T08:38:14.614+11:00My prediction looking at Bass - Gutwein and Fergus...My prediction looking at Bass - Gutwein and Ferguson are elected in their own right. After the elimination of the minor candidates, Wightman will be eliminated on around 6,500 votes, electing O'Byrne and then Booth, and then Jarvis.<br /><br />At that point of Wightman's elimination, I'm estimating around 7,500 for Courtney, 7,700 for Jarvis and Booth, and 8,900 for O'Byrne.<br /><br />If one of the Liberal's gets a substantially smaller part of the cut up, you could potentially see Wightman, O'Byrne and the other Liberal elected.intuitivereasonhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/15444634755480881972noreply@blogger.com