tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4052593945054595675.post2776954002197622343..comments2024-03-28T14:16:10.498+11:00Comments on Dr Kevin Bonham: South Australia 2022: Messy Postcounts (Waite, Finniss, Hammond)Kevin Bonhamhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06845545257440242894noreply@blogger.comBlogger5125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4052593945054595675.post-7291648338590630972022-04-04T13:13:30.417+10:002022-04-04T13:13:30.417+10:00It's available now. Holmes Ross didn't get...It's available now. Holmes Ross didn't get enough Green preferences to overtake Duluk, with Labor getting almost as many Green preferences as her. She was 178 votes short of Duluk when she was excluded.Johnhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03536933978795184627noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4052593945054595675.post-27727293593816045572022-03-31T17:00:36.795+11:002022-03-31T17:00:36.795+11:00It's been difficult to find information but I ...It's been difficult to find information but I believe the distribution has been done, just not posted yet because the ECSA site is hopeless. Also scrutineers reported the flow off Duluk was not sustained in the post-count. But the level of communication has been so poor it is hard to be certain of anything!Kevin Bonhamhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06845545257440242894noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4052593945054595675.post-65511830079870644942022-03-31T12:04:46.776+11:002022-03-31T12:04:46.776+11:00What has led everyone to decisively call Waite for...What has led everyone to decisively call Waite for Labor? A Holmes-Ross snowball still seems possible considering reports of strong Greens and Duluk flows to her, right?Johnhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03536933978795184627noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4052593945054595675.post-35759173932809791042022-03-24T09:25:56.962+11:002022-03-24T09:25:56.962+11:00I don't know the SA record but the federal rec...I don't know the SA record but the federal record is 16.6% (Arthur Hewson, Country, McMillan 1972). For states I believe it is 12.0% (Louis Manton Shoobridge, IND, Queenborough Tas LegCo 1968) but that's a bit different because Tas LegCo contests often attract large fields of independents. Kevin Bonhamhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06845545257440242894noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4052593945054595675.post-64402741313280468242022-03-24T08:08:17.614+11:002022-03-24T08:08:17.614+11:00Re Waite: I'd be curious what the record for t...Re Waite: I'd be curious what the record for the lowest ever primary vote for a winning candidate is.<br /><br />Whoever wins, it will be with ~25-26% of the vote at mostMark Mulcairhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08483740999986680525noreply@blogger.com