tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4052593945054595675.post4045645348509695184..comments2024-03-28T14:16:10.498+11:00Comments on Dr Kevin Bonham: ReachTEL: Liberals With Solid LeadKevin Bonhamhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06845545257440242894noreply@blogger.comBlogger4125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4052593945054595675.post-57616241703306323112014-09-14T18:31:28.449+10:002014-09-14T18:31:28.449+10:00Alas I don't have any polling records for the ...Alas I don't have any polling records for the Groom government in 1992-3. I suspect Morgan were polling Tasmania during that time, doubt that anyone else was.Kevin Bonhamhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06845545257440242894noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4052593945054595675.post-81698331068907188972014-09-14T14:08:37.120+10:002014-09-14T14:08:37.120+10:00How is the state government comparing to poll resu...How is the state government comparing to poll results for the Groom government in 1992. The election result back then was similar to what we got in March this year and it was produced from similar circumstances although I was too young to remember actions that immedietley followed. I was just wondering if the electorate back then maintained high support for that Liberal majority government months after that election ? Thanks. I can't wait for the cable car poll, should be interesting.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4052593945054595675.post-34001439294354165702014-09-14T11:08:49.325+10:002014-09-14T11:08:49.325+10:00All the ReachTELs I can find for Nick McKim had hi...All the ReachTELs I can find for Nick McKim had him running ahead of the party, by varying amounts but similar on average to the gap in this case. It's to be expected because those who pick someone other than the three main parties have to prefer someone for Premier. <br /><br />The Green vote in Bass at this poll is actually more or less the last election result. Accounting for house effect, the poll's pointing to something slightly less but still within MOE of the election result, and it's the only electorate sample for Bass we have so far. Many of the things listed were already factored into the election result and others don't really affect voter intention. We'll need to see a few more of these to get a better feeling for how evenly the Greens vote is moving by electorate.Kevin Bonhamhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06845545257440242894noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4052593945054595675.post-12509704443630211712014-09-14T10:24:35.023+10:002014-09-14T10:24:35.023+10:00Looks like Kim Booth is relatively popular, pollin...Looks like Kim Booth is relatively popular, polling ahead of the party, except in Denison. Is that common for preferred premier results including the Green leader?<br /><br />Very interesting to see the strange Green Bass vote, especially considering all the special attention they've put into Launceston: Based their second Senator there, State Leader there, rented a campaign HQ and ran one of their better doorknocking campaigns, and they're having their state conference there next weekend. Isn't the Green Bass vote just as likely to be wrong in this poll as the Lyons vote? Didn't just get the columns mixed up, did they?<br /><br />Anyway, glad to see another Tasmania poll regardless. EMRS is nice but too few and far between. Will be keeping a keen eye on that Green vote.Roberthttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05947377166619293759noreply@blogger.com