tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4052593945054595675.post296284916197703801..comments2024-03-28T14:16:10.498+11:00Comments on Dr Kevin Bonham: Poll Roundup and Seat Betting Watch: National Poll Drought EditionKevin Bonhamhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06845545257440242894noreply@blogger.comBlogger5125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4052593945054595675.post-55841904268907831772016-06-17T00:52:41.447+10:002016-06-17T00:52:41.447+10:00Well it's not illegal and they can hardly dise...Well it's not illegal and they can hardly disendorse him over it this time, nor would they want to pick a major fight now that might just lose the seat. So I think they have to ignore it and hope he doesn't run third (which seems unlikely). Whether he will be a protected species after the election if he's returned remains to be seen. <br /><br />Labor candidate for Durack has given head office the finger (and some pretty short shrift) too: http://www.abc.net.au/news/2016-06-14/labor-candidate-rejects-preference-deal-in-durack/7508754 Preferencing Nats ahead of Libs.Kevin Bonhamhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06845545257440242894noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4052593945054595675.post-14743640550779964032016-06-17T00:33:09.287+10:002016-06-17T00:33:09.287+10:00Any comment about Michael Danby's effort today...Any comment about Michael Danby's effort today? Handing out "rogue" htv cards at pre-polls that preference the Libs ahead of the Greens (against ALP HQ instructions)?OmiyaAdminhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07796105069175261010noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4052593945054595675.post-63460438838654916852016-06-16T13:54:12.932+10:002016-06-16T13:54:12.932+10:00Thanks, I've changed that. Might have been a ...Thanks, I've changed that. Might have been a clerical error caused by Crownbet's useful but sometimes confusing habit of listing the incumbent first. I'll check out the others.Kevin Bonhamhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06845545257440242894noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4052593945054595675.post-77983901535941023932016-06-16T13:34:42.550+10:002016-06-16T13:34:42.550+10:00Labor seems to be ahead in all betting markets in ...Labor seems to be ahead in all betting markets in Eden-Monaro as far as I can see - might want to check that.<br /><br />Also, Luxbet and Ladbrokes now have seat betting too. Luxbet has been up for quite a while and the odds there seem to move a lot more frequently than the other markets.dendritehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00166412786517092934noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4052593945054595675.post-20744239113226885942016-06-16T12:34:31.015+10:002016-06-16T12:34:31.015+10:00The Greens have also hit up supporters for extra m...The Greens have also hit up supporters for extra money for signage in Higgins. I'd say that poll is realistic in so much as its the best case scenario so far, that is a narrow loss.Unachimbahttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04873952842828774048noreply@blogger.com