tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4052593945054595675.post2617108396692276095..comments2024-03-28T14:16:10.498+11:00Comments on Dr Kevin Bonham: Batman Bits And PiecesKevin Bonhamhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06845545257440242894noreply@blogger.comBlogger3125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4052593945054595675.post-24581740330398472692018-03-22T19:33:12.284+11:002018-03-22T19:33:12.284+11:00Compared with 2013 the Greens had the benefits of ...Compared with 2013 the Greens had the benefits of (i) demographic change favouring them (ii) not having a Liberal on the ballot paper to preference against them. So it would be very difficult for Labor with any candidate to replicate the 2013 result.Kevin Bonhamhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06845545257440242894noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4052593945054595675.post-89356630688644665352018-03-22T18:52:51.567+11:002018-03-22T18:52:51.567+11:00I'm not sure this is really the right conclusi...I'm not sure this is really the right conclusion to draw from the batman byelection. Labor got a positive swing because they fielded a likable candidate whose views were more in line with the electorate and who actually lived in the area (albeit not technically in the electorate). However, they only won back around 1/3 of the swing against them in 2016. The fact remains that if the southern half were its own electorate (or say, the southern half of Wills and Batman were one electorate), it would be a Greens seat.<br /><br />Labor can definitely hold onto this seat, just like they do in Sydney and Grayndler, but they should not become complacent and assume they can ignore more progressive voters. That's how they got in this mess in the first place.Carlhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12534011901407792372noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4052593945054595675.post-84916216065620070492018-03-22T14:23:07.084+11:002018-03-22T14:23:07.084+11:00Look forward to your analysis of Grayndler ahead o...Look forward to your analysis of Grayndler ahead of any election<br />Smeehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17380837547403596972noreply@blogger.com